Absurd mission: Pelosi's visit to cost Yerevan dearly
Vadim Mansurov's forecast

ANALYTICS  20 September 2022 - 10:37

Pelosi replaced Putin - Armenia is urgently and once again doing a flip-flop. Yerevan's political buffoonery has reached certain absolute heights, from which it will have to go down painfully and harshly. Moscow does not forgive such offences, while Washington will probably just use Armenia for its own purposes, and leave it with nothing.

If we were to make a medical diagnosis of the political courses of any country, the Armenian course could be defined as a distinct mentally retarded one. Meanwhile, Armenian Prime Minister Pashinyan himself has already become quite comfortable in the image of a political buffoon or clown, causing astonished consternation in all politicians of all countries around him.

Azerbaijan is probably the least perplexed since our country has seen much - in thirty years of independent politics, it has been in different political jams and escaped a range of different intrigues. It has seen enough of fools and scoundrels, especially with such neighbors nearby.

However, Yerevan's clownish politics are worth applause. Especially when Nikol Pashinyan, finding himself at an economic forum next to Vladimir Putin, declares publicly that Yerevan from now on will coordinate almost all its foreign policy with Moscow. He is making overtures to Putin, and a week and a half later he, ignoring all his assurances to Moscow, joyfully rushes to Yerevan to meet Nancy Pelosi, speaker of the United States House of Representatives, who has arrived straight from Washington.

In general, the visit of the head of the House of Representatives to Yerevan and her loud statements resemble the scene from a bad play. Why should Pelosi, who has hardly ever spoken about Armenia, suddenly become the best friend of Armenians and start worrying about all their woes and "genocides"? In this sense, the Armenian "long-suffering land" certainly went crazy crying on Pelosi's American shoulder. My God, how many years the Armenians have been waiting for, but no one of any importance from Washington has looked at Armenia, and here is finally such a guest!

Noisy Armenian crowd welcoming Putin's visit to Yerevan at one time with happy slogans replaced them with billboards in praise of Pelosi. To make it more convincing and to please the American madam, they made up a couple of memorable anti-Russian demonstrations. Otherwise, God forbid, she will not come again.

However, Pelosi tried, too. And she pretended to shed a tear during her visit to the Armenian "genocide" memorial.

Something tells me Armenia went too far. So did Washington. Very soon Yerevan will get a serious blow-up from Moscow, and the blow-up will be big enough. Not now, but later. Pelosi's visit is not joyful, but rather a bad omen, a harbinger of things to come, including the collapse of the Armenian state.

Because as it is known, Nancy usually comes not to reconcile any parties, but to quarrel among them. Her visit to Taiwan is a case in point. "The Dove of Peace" has done its best to damage relations between Beijing and Washington. And since then the relationship between China and the US has only deteriorated.

At that, Washington is also absolutely naive in its attempts to change something in the South Caucasus. Azerbaijan has been working on its victory in the 44-day war for years; it has spent decades building its international credibility to respond at the right moment to the attacks and accusations of its enemies, conducting reconnaissance and making plans in case Yerevan finally deadlocks the negotiations. Do they really think that with such visits the US will be able to push Armenia away from its overlord, Russia, quickly, while the latter wages war in Ukraine and is busy with other matters? Or will they be able to set Armenia up for a new war with Baku by supporting it, for example, with arms deliveries? A very naive forecast. More likely, the opposite will happen: sometime later, having realised that nothing more can be squeezed out of the USA, the clown Pashinyan will run back to his old "master".

There is another aspect of Washington's very amateurish policy in the South Caucasus, and it is very trivial. As you know, Pelosi is also a prominent representative of the pro-Armenian lobby in the US, and her visit to Armenia is now driven by an urgent issue - an attempt to secure votes from the Armenian diaspora. The US parliamentary elections are on the horizon, and many analysts have long confidently called Pelosi a "lame duck", implying the imminent end of the Democrats' dominance in the US. After the elections, Washington will once again forget about Yerevan until better times.

With this visit, the US has certainly made one serious miscalculation: it has noticeably damaged its relations with Azerbaijan. Of course, Azerbaijan will not turn a blind eye to such steps of the US. After all, Nancy Pelosi, showing the triumph of hypocrisy, accused Baku of some "deadly attacks". Thus, it would be correct to call this visit a provocation by the US against our country, because the congresswoman went too far with anti-Azerbaijani conclusions. She is clearly demonstrating - either because of her age or lack of education - that she knows nothing about the history of the Armenian-Azerbaijani conflict and understands nothing about it. What "Azerbaijani aggression" is she talking about if Armenia is still keeping seven villages of Gazakh under occupation and is constantly shelling the Azerbaijani border? The Azerbaijani Foreign Ministry swiftly responded to the congresswoman's attacks, noting that "Pelosi's baseless and unfair accusations against Azerbaijan are unacceptable."

At the same time, Speaker Alain Simonyan made delusional statements during his meeting with Nancy Pelosi that it was the US that played a key role in Armenia's political and economic life, in particular, that it was Washington that facilitated the ceasefire agreement reached on September 14. However, according to Caliber.Az, these statements are untrue; there is no single merit of Americans in this.

The initiative on the ceasefire regime was initiated by the Russian side on September 13, but it failed to achieve its goal because Armenia did not stop its provocations. As a result, the ceasefire was secured through direct contacts between the Azerbaijani and Armenian sides. It is clear that Simonyan's flattering remarks were an attempt to curry favour with Pelosi.

In such a scenario, there is only one outcome - Moscow will soon simply refuse any political support for Yerevan and it will stop cherishing the Armenian statehood at all. That, in fact, will one day be the end of Pashinyan's clownery.

"Nancy Pelosi's visit to Yerevan is a sure sign of Armenia's impending degradation and collapse," Pavel Klachkov, director of the branch of the Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation, political scientist, said in a conversation with Caliber.Az.

"Pelosi's mission is something opposite to an angel of peace. It is more like a visit of the demon of death, whose visit is followed by military conflict, which threatens the very existence of this country. We know the mechanism that was used to bring her there. It is a mechanism from the past. Armenian politicians may have thought that her visit would help them in some way, give them some weight. But believe me, in this emerging new world, this visit will bring nothing but fear, destruction, and grief to the people of the country she is visiting," Klachkov said.

It is quite clear, according to him, that Russia is at least cautious about this visit and generally treats it with a considerable degree of disdain.

"We know that the removal of billboards with Vladimir Putin's portrait and some anti-Russian rallies were linked with the visit of Pelosi. All this clownery makes the Russian side distinctly squeamish when this person gets involved where she does not understand anything and with the worst, unpredictable consequences," the Russian political scientist stated.

Caliber.Az