Turkish transit: Ankara and Yerevan seek normalization
While Russia bypasses Georgia via Baku
ANALYTICS 04 July 2022 - 10:24
Vadim Mansurov Caliber.Az |
A new milestone in the transport logistics of the South Caucasus and the Middle East: Türkiye and Armenia have agreed to open the land border for citizens of third countries and direct air cargo transportation. And according to expert estimates, this decision will strengthen the transport integration of these countries, as well as the transit potential of Azerbaijan as a global hub between a number of Eurasian regions.
We will try to figure out how all this will work. The statement of the Turkish Foreign Ministry promises a lot of interesting prospects and says at least that there is a tangible shift from the meeting of the sides - representatives of Ankara and Yerevan. This is evidenced at least by the positive tone of the statement, at least as far as the diplomatic language allows. It is noted that the sides stressed their agreement to continue the normalization process without preconditions.
The statement also says that on July 1 the fourth meeting between Kılıç and Rubinyan, the chief negotiators of the two countries, was held in Vienna, where an agreement was reached on the need to open the land border between Türkiye and Armenia as soon as possible for the citizens of third countries who visit them.
Also, the Turkish Foreign Ministry reports that "the sides agreed to start direct air cargo transportation between Türkiye and Armenia as soon as possible and decided to initiate the necessary process to achieve this goal."
And perhaps most importantly: other possible concrete steps that could be taken to "ensure full normalization" of relations between the two countries, which is the ultimate goal of the negotiations, were also discussed.
In the meantime the very nature of the decision makes at least one more important point: the North-South corridor is getting a new perspective development. And Russia, as one of the main initiators of the direction, is seriously working on it.
At the same time, it is obvious that Azerbaijan will only benefit from this new stage of cross-border transit in its various configurations. First of all, because Baku, unlike Yerevan, tries never to miss the perspective opportunities; Azerbaijan doesn't sit and wait for everything to be ready.
Turkish political analyst Engin Ozer told Caliber.Az that the agreement is only the first step towards increasing contact between Ankara and Yerevan in the sphere of cargo transportation, economic relations, and full-fledged opening of borders.
"We are not yet talking about reciprocal visits of citizens of the two countries, because Turkey and Armenia do not have official diplomatic relations at this stage. However, everything is going towards the final normalization of relations between the countries," Ozer said.
Thus, the opening of the borders between Türkiye and Armenia for citizens of third countries and cargo transportation, in fact, gives Russia an opportunity to establish a new transport corridor to Türkiye and further to the Middle East, bypassing the Georgian Upper Lars. To date, that high-mountain crossing has been the only transfer point for truck traffic from Russia to Türkiye, Armenia, and other countries.
"Georgia's Upper Lars customs checkpoint has long been unable to cope with cargo traffic from Russia to Türkiye. In winter, due to difficult mountain conditions, it sometimes does not function at all. Moscow's desire to force this direction is also connected with rather complex relations with Georgia, which is clearly not on the side of Moscow in the current geopolitical situation and is actively cooperating with NATO," says the Turkish expert.
And the new overland route of the Russian cargo shipments to Türkiye, the expert specifies, will lie through Dagestan, Azerbaijan, and Armenia. And it will increase its potential once the land communications between Armenia and Türkiye are established, and highways and railroads will start working.
As a result, Azerbaijan in Russia's plans is an important transport transit hub, which will very soon begin to untwist a new promising direction. Also, according to Ozer, along with the Zangazur corridor, it is an important transit for China's global Silk Road project "One Belt, One Road," which is completely blocked in the Russian direction due to sanctions.
The expert believes that the new redirection of transit is an important element of Moscow's pressure on Georgia, turning it into an "island" in the Caucasus, depriving it of the status of a significant transport hub, if it refuses to accept Moscow's conditions, where the main requirement is to stop or seriously reduce Tbilisi's contacts with NATO.
At the same time, Engin Ozer believes that the corridor through Azerbaijan to Armenia and Türkiye could become an important transit link for traffic flow from other countries, such as Kazakhstan and Central Asian states.
"Such transport corridors, followed by the full opening of borders for economic cooperation and mutual contacts, of course, are very important for Armenia, which gets an opportunity to export its goods to Türkiye and then to Europe or to import goods from there. This will help Armenia become a full member of the world economic and political community. That, of course, will inevitably reduce very soon the ultra-nationalist sentiments in Armenia, will influence the reorganisation of its foreign and domestic policy, will contribute to the restoration of relations with Türkiye and Azerbaijan," concluded the Turkish expert.
Caliber.Az
1
|
20 points. What did Armenia, the EU and the US agree on in Brussels? Sensational details on Caliber.Az
17 April 2024 - 11:01
|
2
|
Iran seeks international backing following missile strikes on Israel Raisi calls Russia & Qatari leaders amid tension
17 April 2024 - 16:56
|
3
|
Serbian President seeks Azerbaijani support amid Western pressures Insights from Political Scientist Stevan Gajić
17 April 2024 - 13:10
|
4
|
French ambassador recalled from Azerbaijan amidst bilateral strain Macron admits defeat
17 April 2024 - 15:19
|
5
|
Is Ukraine on the edge? Big vulnerabilities
17 April 2024 - 16:13
|
Sydney bishop forgives alleged attacker and urges followers not to retaliate
20 April 2024 - 01:03
US blocks Palestine from becoming UN full member
19 April 2024 - 23:00
Egypt, Türkiye to discuss bilateral trade, regional issues, including Gaza
19 April 2024 - 20:59
Geneva to host Turkic Week for the first time
PHOTO19 April 2024 - 20:49
Azerbaijani FM commends outgoing Algerian envoy’s diplomatic service
Discusses bilateral ties & regional developments19 April 2024 - 20:39
NATO approves Azerbaijani-Romanian project
19 April 2024 - 20:30
Baku Airport once again awarded Skytrax
19 April 2024 - 20:21
Punitive op against Israel untied country: Raisi
19 April 2024 - 19:59
US leader weighs another $1 billion in arms sales to Israel
19 April 2024 - 19:42
Parliamentarian hails Azerbaijani president's strategic triumph
For restoring control over four villages19 April 2024 - 19:35
Tensions mount over religious freedom in India
Concerns rise amid BJP's influence and controversial policies19 April 2024 - 19:22
Azerbaijani top prosecutor becomes vice-president of International Association of Prosecutors
19 April 2024 - 19:14
Second-in-command: Hezbollah would respond to Israeli escalation
19 April 2024 - 19:02
Azerbaijani top diplomat, outgoing Italian envoy mull relations & regional dynamics
19 April 2024 - 18:50
Secretary of State: US can not support major military operation in Rafah
19 April 2024 - 18:42
Azerbaijan commends return of four Armenia-controlled villages
19 April 2024 - 18:30
Azerbaijani FM, Palestinian PM discuss situation in Gaza
19 April 2024 - 18:22
Armenian analyst confirms Caliber.Az information
Secret talks in Brussels19 April 2024 - 18:17
Azerbaijan achieves return of villages seized by Armenia
New stage of bolstering nation’s sovereignty19 April 2024 - 18:12
Azerbaijani, Kyrgyz customs services eye to cooperate
19 April 2024 - 18:02
France's ambassador recall from Azerbaijan
A symbolic gesture or strategic misstep?19 April 2024 - 18:00
Türkiye calls for restraint amid reported Israel attack on Iran
19 April 2024 - 17:42
Rogun Hydropower Plant in action and Tajikistan’s energy needs
Blessing or curse?19 April 2024 - 17:37
Public hearings on Azerbaijan's preliminary objections end at International Court of Justice
19 April 2024 - 17:22
Azerbaijan, Armenia agree on important points of border delimitation
Details19 April 2024 - 17:09
US criticises Russian peacekeepers' withdrawal from Karabakh
Revealing double standards in South Caucasus policy19 April 2024 - 17:05
G7 FMs remain committed to fully enforcing sanctions on Russia
19 April 2024 - 17:02
Armenia's shift towards West sparks geopolitical concerns, potential security risks
Armenia may become a target for Iranian or Russian missiles19 April 2024 - 16:45
World's largest Chinese telescope spots over 900 pulsars
19 April 2024 - 16:42
Azerbaijani President, German Chancellor to hold talks in Berlin
19 April 2024 - 16:26
Azerbaijani, Russian leaders discuss further development of strategic partnership
19 April 2024 - 16:24
Russia likely lost rare air surveillance system, Fundament-M
19 April 2024 - 16:21
Argentina takes first step toward NATO partnership
19 April 2024 - 16:01
G7 FMs urge Armenia, Azerbaijan to adhere to peace process
19 April 2024 - 15:35
Azerbaijani delegation to observe parliamentary elections in Maldives
19 April 2024 - 15:31
The Gulf ramps up efforts to stabilize the Middle East
Uneasy alliance19 April 2024 - 15:19
European Commission President von der Leyen visits Finland’s eastern border
19 April 2024 - 15:11
Russian FM: Armenia still fails to delimit border with Azerbaijan
19 April 2024 - 15:06
EU prepares 14th package of sanctions targeting those circumventing restrictions on Russia
19 April 2024 - 14:51
FM: Armenia – still Russia’s ally
19 April 2024 - 14:48