Russian expert: I take my hat off to Ilham Aliyev for his brilliant policy
INTERVIEWS 29 July 2022 - 15:53
Matanat Nasibova Caliber.Az |
Caliber.Az presents an interview with Stanislav Tarasov, editor-in-chief of the Eastern editorial office of REGNUM news agency, a Russian political analyst.
- Stanislav Nikolayevich, the next anti-Russian demarches are being held in Yerevan with the requirement to close Russian schools, ignore the Russian language, and so on. What do those who advocate such actions achieve in this way?
- Anti-Russian sentiments in Armenia, which have intensified recently, are bewildering, at least because Moscow has never imposed the Russian language there. The experience of Ukraine showed that we will not impose the Russian language by force anywhere. I personally worked in Kabul at one time and I remember very well that the overwhelming majority of the population spoke Russian. That is, the Russian language was advantageous. I saw the same thing in Türkiye, where, again, Russian remains one of the top priority languages to this day. The knowledge of the Russian language is becoming not so much prestigious, but rather profitable: the Turks who know Russian only benefit from it when looking for work or getting an education. That is why I do not understand why the opposite situation is observed in Armenia, some anti-Russian attacks are allowed.
- Do you think that there are not some revanchist forces behind these processes?
- I do not think it is appropriate to speak about any revanchist forces now. Even if we assume a hypothetical change of power in Armenia, even in that case no one there will resort to revanchism. It is impossible to change the status quo in Karabakh, the main game has already been played. The Armenians have unambiguously lost the Second Karabakh War. So now we must think about the future not only of Armenia but the entire region, especially in this period when the geopolitical redistribution is underway. Ukraine's experience has shown that even in a region as volatile as the Middle East, much can still change.
- Do you think Armenia's future is with Russia or with the West?
- I would have asked Pashinyan this question myself. We can't figure it out ourselves. Yes, Armenia is a member of the CSTO and the EAEU, but at the same time it does not break off relations with the West. In this sense, I have repeatedly brought up Baku's policy as an example. Despite the fact that Azerbaijan is not a member of CSTO and EAEU, nevertheless during the preparation for the Second Karabakh War Aliyev brilliantly used the Russian and Turkish resources in the interests of his country, I must admit. Although I used to be skeptical about his policy, now I take my hat off to him. That is the first thing.
Secondly, Armenia, which is a member of the CSTO and the Eurasian Economic Union, however, failed to use these resources in its national interests and in some cases, sold out its ally's interests. This is confusing. It is time for Armenians to decide whom they want to be friends with and where they want to be.
- Perhaps, this issue was also discussed during the recent visit of CIA Director William Burns to Armenia...
- This is also a question. His visits are always purposeful. Of course, there was a specific purpose for the visit, but it was not publicized in the press. I think Burns' visit had a lot to do with Turkish-Armenian relations. The Americans want to put Turkish-Armenian relations on a separate spectrum. Now Türkiye and Azerbaijan act as a single bloc with regard to Armenia. Therefore, the US's task is to separate them in different directions. That is, Armenia and Türkiye is one game, while Armenia and Azerbaijan is another game. This allows for maneuvering on each side. That's first of all.
And secondly, the Americans have a suspicion that an alliance is being created between Moscow, Baku, and Ankara, and this does not suit them, of course.
- Will Putin's upcoming meeting with Erdogan in Sochi further aggravate Washington's suspicions?
- Undoubtedly. I think the recent summit in Tehran with the participation of three regional powers - Türkiye, Russia, and Iran - has already given Washington cause for concern. But during the upcoming meeting in Sochi, the leaders are likely to discuss a range of issues, with the Syrian problem in the first place. It seems to me that at the last summit in Tehran, this issue was discussed in more detail, and it is possible that the three countries have already come to an agreement on the Syrian crisis. So far it has not been voiced, apparently because of Türkiye's plans in the Middle East. Moscow and Tehran are against Türkiye's new war in Syria and believe that the issue should be resolved by diplomatic means. And in my opinion, the Syrian problem can be solved if the parties manage to reconcile Assad and Erdogan. This is the first point.
The second has to do with the grain deal reached as a result of the Tehran summit. Now it turns out that the volume of grain that Ukraine talked about (20-25 million tons) does not exist. This is why there is a lot of ambiguity around this issue. Even Egypt cancelled a contract with Ukraine the day before because there is no grain, as it turned out. I suspect that there are some political games around this issue.
-So it turns out that Russia becomes the main supplier of grain to the world markets?
- Objectively, yes. The declared reserves of 20-25 million tons of Ukrainian grains are only 5-6% of the world volumes. Therefore, the hysteria about the fact that without Ukrainian grain there will be a world famine is utter nonsense.
- Finally, how do you see the future of Russian-Turkish relations?
- We have great relations and an equally great future.
Caliber.Az
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