Armenia may commit provocation upon France’s instructions
    Risk of war looms

    ANALYTICS  27 February 2024 - 17:56

    Matanat Nasibova

    Armenia is still carrying out its policy of militarisation of the South Caucasus. It actively purchases weapons from Paris and New Delhi to replenish its military arsenal, which has become rather depleted after the 44-day second Karabakh war in 2020. 

    Armenian Defence Minister Suren Papikyan said in an interview with Public TV Company earlier this month that France and India had become Yerevan’s main military-technical partners and boasted that there has been great progress in diversifying arms acquisition.

    Earlier, Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan also confirmed in an interview with the Public Radio of Armenia that Yerevan is looking for countries to establish military-technical cooperation and referred to the fact that Yerevan cannot continue implementing the concept of reforming the Armenian Armed Forces with Russia.

    “Previously, 95-97 per cent of our relations in the defence sector accounted for the Russian Federation. However, this situation has changed for both objective and subjective reasons,” Pashinyan assured.

    Apparently, India has become the main supplier of weapons to Armenia over the past two years. In particular, Yerevan purchased the Akash air defense missile system, Pinaka multiple rocket launchers, Konkurs anti-tank guided missile systems manufactured under a Russian patent, 80 mm and 155 mm howitzers and other weapons from New Delhi.

    Baku is dissatisfied with the supply of Indian weapons to Armenia. Azerbaijani Foreign Minister Jeyhun Bayramov stated at a briefing in December 2023 that according to India’s official position, its arms supplies to Armenia are not related to  Azerbaijan’s friendly relations with Türkiye and Pakistan.

    “However, Azerbaijan cannot consider this as pure commerce as its lands were under occupation for 30 years. Armenia and India stated that this is commerce rather than sabotage towards Azerbaijan. This is their official position. We know that revanchist sentiments are still strong in Armenia, and such weapon supply strengthens them even more,” Bayramov said.

    “India must resist the Türkiye-Azerbaijan-Pakistan axis in the South Caucasus region as Pakistan is our old enemy. That is why India supplies military equipment to Armenia,” Head of the Usanas Foundation Abhinav Pandya operating in India said in an interview with ETV Bharat.

    That is, the Indian analyst confirmed India’s geopolitical interest in military supplies to Yerevan, which Baku understands well.

    As for France, it supplied Bastion armoured vehicles, three Ground Master 200 medium-range radars produced by Thales Group, and Mistral anti-aircraft missile systems produced by MBDA company. French Armed Forces Minister Sebastien Lecornu said at a recent joint briefing with his Armenian counterpart in Yerevan that if Armenia needs short- and medium-range missiles, they will be supplied.

    The militarisation of the region is in the interests of France and Armenia is ready to blindly follow the orders of Paris. These are obvious facts. Proceeding from the fact that Armenia is being intensively provided with weapons, Yerevan and Paris are preparing for armed provocations. They intend to launch provocations by blaming Azerbaijan. This information campaign has been going on for quite a long time to spread lies about our country. So, Armenia is being quickly provided with arms. The main slogan of this campaign is already heard everywhere - “Azerbaijan is preparing to attack Armenia”.

    In this regard, the commentary of Russian military expert Alexander Khramchikhin is of interest.

    “Even though India and France are providing Yerevan with weapons, nothing will help the Armenians,” he said.

    “It is not serious to talk about Armenia’s current military arsenal. As for assumptions about the likelihood of a new war in the region, a war may occur if Yerevan upon France’s instructions tries to commit a military provocation. Then Azerbaijan will decide to finally destroy Armenia. The military arsenals of Yerevan and Baku are incomparable,” Khramchikhin said.

    While providing Armenia with weapons, France and India are acting in their own interests. It is extremely important for them to spark a new war in the South Caucasus. The matter rests on geopolitical gain rather than commercial one. France dreams of gaining a foothold in the region while India wants to harm the alliance of Azerbaijan, Türkiye and Pakistan. Yerevan understand this. However, it is facilitating the ambitions of France and India by greatly jeopardising its own security.


    Subscribe to our Telegram channel

Read also

Türkiye-Iraq diplomatic thaw and regional integration Ambitious vision

23 April 2024 - 16:16

Azerbaijan boosts energy infrastructure for North-South corridor Power bridge connects Baku, Moscow, Tehran

23 April 2024 - 15:17

Armenia returns four villages to Azerbaijan, paving the way for peace in the South Caucasus Landmark accord

23 April 2024 - 09:14

Armenian PM's Moscow visit sparks speculation on bilateral relations Dilemma between East, West

23 April 2024 - 11:19

Gulf – Central Asian partnership is on the rise Global uncertainty

22 April 2024 - 16:55

Armenia faces internal strife as border agreement with Azerbaijan sparks unrest Tensions rise

23 April 2024 - 12:28
Latest news

    German staffer in EU parliament arrested on China spying charges

    24 April 2024 - 03:15

    Could conflict between Iran, Israel turn nuclear?

    24 April 2024 - 01:05

    Indian air force aims for Tejas Mk2 fighters by decade’s end

    23 April 2024 - 23:00

    Polish opposition party calls for country to host nuclear weapons

    23 April 2024 - 20:59

    COP29 to create great opportunities for Azerbaijan – ex-envoy

    23 April 2024 - 20:50

    Azerbaijan invites Norwegian premier to COP29

    23 April 2024 - 20:38

    Armenia against presence of Russian peacekeepers

    23 April 2024 - 20:28

    Ex-US envoy assesses Baku-Yerevan normalization process

    23 April 2024 - 20:23

    We do not cross red lines - Azerbaijani president

    23 April 2024 - 20:17

    Raisi raps US crackdown on students in pro-Palestine rallies

    23 April 2024 - 20:10

    Azerbaijani president on why nation’s land borders remain closed

    23 April 2024 - 20:03

    Iran calls on European Union to sanction Israel

    23 April 2024 - 19:53

    Azerbaijan, Czechia explore opportunities for cooperation within COP29

    23 April 2024 - 19:45

    Armenian Parliament rejects opposition's draft on border delimitation with Azerbaijan

    23 April 2024 - 19:34

    Azerbaijani top diplomat discusses foreign policy priorities in Prague

    23 April 2024 - 19:26

    Armenia was approached by the UK over Rwanda-style deal, officials say

    23 April 2024 - 19:14

    US delegation visits ANAMA


    23 April 2024 - 19:05

    Ukraine holds its breath as US set to approve $60bn of military aid

    Our artillery is starving

    23 April 2024 - 18:57

    Trade turnover between Azerbaijan and China up 44 percent

    23 April 2024 - 18:49

    Türkiye, Iraq sign 26 agreements

    23 April 2024 - 18:40

    Media: Iran’s president condemns US crackdown on pro-Palestine students

    23 April 2024 - 18:21

    Ukraine media: Russian forces using chemical weapons to storm Ocheretyne, situation "difficult"

    23 April 2024 - 18:03

    UN rights chief "horrified" by mass grave reports at Gaza hospitals

    23 April 2024 - 17:42

    President Aliyev: "Now, we have a common understanding of how the peace agreement should look like"


    23 April 2024 - 17:37

    Lebanon's Hezbollah launches deepest attack into Israel since Gaza war

    23 April 2024 - 17:29

    French unions denounce Olympics volunteering as “disguised employment”

    No pay, no Olympics

    23 April 2024 - 17:11

    Gaza Strip death toll surpasses 34,000

    23 April 2024 - 16:52

    Azerbaijani FM, Czech PM discuss strategic partnership, regional post-conflict situation

    23 April 2024 - 16:51

    Historic moment: first border pillar established between Azerbaijan and Armenia

    23 April 2024 - 16:33

    Türkiye-Iraq diplomatic thaw and regional integration

    Ambitious vision

    23 April 2024 - 16:16

    Armenian diplomat walks out after failed attempt to exclude Western Azerbaijan Community rep from OSCE event

    23 April 2024 - 16:16

    Russian army to receive S-500 systems for first time

    23 April 2024 - 16:00

    Pro-Armenian senator Menendez's corruption trial postponed to mid-May

    23 April 2024 - 15:46

    Erdogan urges Armenia to embrace realities to normalise relations

    23 April 2024 - 15:31

    Azerbaijan boosts energy infrastructure for North-South corridor

    Power bridge connects Baku, Moscow, Tehran

    23 April 2024 - 15:17

    Israel's military strikes northern Gaza in heaviest shelling in weeks

    23 April 2024 - 15:14

    Turkish army destroys dozens of terrorists


    23 April 2024 - 14:59

    Narendra Modi accused of stirring tensions as voting in India continues

    23 April 2024 - 14:41

    Azerbaijani deputy FM exposes Armenia's use of fake social media accounts

    Passing them off as Azerbaijani ones

    23 April 2024 - 14:27

    Azerbaijani, Czech foreign ministers mull relations

    23 April 2024 - 14:22

All news