- The destruction of the Kakhovka Hydroelectric Power Plant (KHPP) dam is significantly changing the geography and topography of the Kherson frontline sector in southern Ukraine.
- Ukrainian officials continued to accuse Russian forces of destroying the KHPP dam out of fear that Ukrainian forces would land on the east (left) bank Kherson Oblast.
- The New York Times (NYT) reported that engineering and munitions experts believe that a deliberate explosion was the likely cause of KHPP dam’s collapse on June 6.
- Russian forces and occupation authorities are responding to the flooding in Kherson Oblast with a great degree of disorganization and thereby exacerbating harm to the civilian population of occupied areas.
- Select Wagner Group-affiliated Russian senior military officers continue to posture as effective commanders to appeal to Russian President Vladimir Putin by capitalizing on high-profile military events.
- The pro-Teplinsky interview is likely part of an information operation aimed at undermining the Russian Ministry of Defence (MoD).
- Wagner-affiliated commanders’ reactive public relations campaigns may not be sufficient to deflect from battlefield realities.
- Russian and Ukrainian officials each accused the other state of damaging an ammonia pipeline that runs through Kharkiv Oblast and causing an ammonia leak.
- Russian forces continued to conduct ground attacks around Kreminna.
- Ukrainian officials indicated that Ukrainian forces are conducting offensive operations in the Bakhmut direction as of June 7.
- Russian forces continued limited ground attacks along the Avdiivka-Donetsk City line.
- Russian sources continued to claim that Ukrainian forces conducted ground attacks on the administrative border between Donetsk and Zaporizhia oblasts on June 7.
- Russian and Ukrainian forces reportedly engaged in skirmishes in western Zaporizhia Oblast.
- Russian authorities continue to restrict international travel for those eligible for military service.
- Russian officials and occupation authorities continue to establish patronage programs between Russian regions and occupied territories in order to integrate occupied territories into Russia.
ISW analyses changes in frontline area after Kakhovka HPP blast
WORLD 08 June 2023 - 10:56
The destruction of the Kakhovka Hydroelectric Power Plant (KHPP) dam is significantly changing the geography and topography of the Kherson frontline sector in southern Ukraine.
Near-infrared (NIR) imagery captured on June 7 indicates that the flooding is heavily disrupting Russian-prepared defensive positions on the east (left) bank of the Dnipro River – especially affecting Russian first-line positions in Hola Prystan and Oleshky, Caliber.Az reports, citing the Institute for the Study of War (ISW).
Various sources reported that Oleshky, Hola Prystan, Kozacha Laheri, and Dnipryany are almost entirely flooded with water levels rising to the height of a one-story building in some areas. The Ukrainian headquarters established to remediate the consequences of the dam’s destruction reported that as of June 7, 29 settlements are partially or fully flooded, 19 of which are located on Ukrainian-controlled territory and 10 on Russian-occupied territories, the ISW writes.
Russian sources published footage indicating that water had begun receding in Nova Kakhovka and had dropped by 30 cm. Russian sources also claimed that water levels decreased by three to four metres in some areas from a high of 10 metres. Water levels in nearby Mykolaiv City reportedly increased by 70cm as of June 7. Flooding will likely worsen and further change the geography of Kherson Oblast over the next 72 hours.
“The flooding has destroyed many Russian first-line field fortifications that the Russian military intended to use to defend against Ukrainian attacks. Rapid flooding has likely forced Russian personnel and military equipment in Russian main concentration points in Oleshky and Hola Prystan to withdraw,” the report said.
Ukrainian Southern Operational Command Spokesperson Nataliya Humenyuk stated that Russian forces relocated their personnel and military equipment from five to 15 kilometres from the flood zone, which places Russian forces out of artillery range of some settlements on the west (right bank) of the Dnipro River they had been attacking.
The flood also destroyed Russian minefields along the coast, with footage showing mines exploding in the flood water.
Kherson Oblast Occupation Head Vladimir Saldo, however, claimed that the destruction of the KHPP is beneficial to the Russian defences because it will complicate Ukrainian advances across the river. Saldo’s assessment of the situation ignores the loss of Russia’s first line of prepared fortifications. The amount of Russian heavy equipment lost in the first 24 hours of flooding is also unclear.
Key Takeaways
Caliber.Az
1
|
High time to declare US ambassador persona non grata Mr. Libby, take your suitcase and leave for Washington
05 May 2024 - 12:06
|
2
|
Factory burst into flames in Germany PHOTO / VIDEO
03 May 2024 - 16:19
|
3
|
Profiling Archbishop Bagrat Galstanyan – Tavush region protest leader
03 May 2024 - 17:20
|
4
|
West destabilising situation in Georgia Security, impunity for (foreign) agents
05 May 2024 - 17:28
|
5
|
Will Azerbaijan's diplomatic efforts bring change? UNESCO's crucial crossroad
03 May 2024 - 17:13
|
Tensions rise amidst concerns over potential Gaza offensive
US halts ammunition supply to Israel06 May 2024 - 16:06
FT: Discussions underway to bring Arab peacekeepers into Palestine
06 May 2024 - 15:48
National Assembly president: Opposition wants to drag Armenia into war
06 May 2024 - 15:43
US ambassador expresses delight at visit to Shusha
06 May 2024 - 15:31
Armenian FM advocates for recording commitments of Yerevan and Baku at upcoming Almaty meeting
06 May 2024 - 15:29
India – Oman trade deal and balance of power in the Gulf
Strategic convergence06 May 2024 - 15:19
Armenia pushes for unrestricted opening of transport routes with Azerbaijan
06 May 2024 - 15:13
Armenian Parliament Speaker urges clarity and commitment in peace treaty negotiations
06 May 2024 - 14:58
US ambassador discuss return of former IDPs in Shusha
06 May 2024 - 14:41
Taylor: ADB recommends use of 'green' cement in Azerbaijan
06 May 2024 - 14:22
Navigating existential challenges in changing world
EU at a crossroads06 May 2024 - 14:10
Russia preparing non-strategic nuclear strike drills
06 May 2024 - 14:03
Bloomberg: Western sanctions block Russian LNG exports
06 May 2024 - 13:47
US ambassador visits Shusha
06 May 2024 - 13:32
Türkiye's defence breakthrough: Successful integration of UAVs, "smart" bombs, electro-optical systems
VIDEO06 May 2024 - 13:18
Ceasefire talks between Israel, Hamas again at impasse
06 May 2024 - 13:02
President Aliyev approves visa-free regime with Albania
06 May 2024 - 12:54
China strengthens defence partnership with Russia
Secret gear06 May 2024 - 12:49
Uzbekistan to cooperate with Azerbaijan's Pasha Development
06 May 2024 - 12:35
Armenian sapper hits mine in Tavush
06 May 2024 - 12:20
Eurasia Review sheds light on growing power of Organisation of Turkic States
Article by Taras Kuzio06 May 2024 - 12:04
ADB to continue working on improving Middle Corridor, says Bank's rep
06 May 2024 - 12:04
Petrol demand to fall amid growing use of electric cars in China, US
06 May 2024 - 11:51
Date set for talks between Azerbaijani and Armenian foreign ministers in Almaty
06 May 2024 - 11:38
Economic weakening of West and battle for South Caucasus
Analytics by Serhey Bohdan06 May 2024 - 11:26
Xi Jinping calls for establishment of Palestinian state
06 May 2024 - 11:13
Israel military begins evacuating Palestinian civilians from Rafah
06 May 2024 - 11:13
President Maduro accuses US of instructing Guyana to attack Venezuela
06 May 2024 - 10:59
Russian FM stresses need for balance of interests in dialogue with Western Europe
06 May 2024 - 10:44
Russia declares former chief of Ukraine’s National Security and Defence Council wanted
06 May 2024 - 10:29
Türkiye eyes to increase gas storage volumes
06 May 2024 - 10:14
US said to suspend ammunition shipments to Israel
06 May 2024 - 10:00
Xi aims to open brighter future of China-France ties via visit
06 May 2024 - 09:45
UAE announces delivery of 400 tonnes of food aid to Gazans
06 May 2024 - 09:33
Western Azerbaijan Community urges global condemnation of Armenian Gregorian Church's actions
06 May 2024 - 09:19
Scene-Setter: Kazakhstan's diplomatic stage for Azerbaijani-Armenian peace talks
06 May 2024 - 09:14
Living Italian dream just got easier, thanks to new visa
06 May 2024 - 09:07
India, Japan dismiss US president’s “xenophobic” comment
06 May 2024 - 08:01
Despite F-16 deal, Türkiye wants Eurofighter, too
06 May 2024 - 06:02
AI could drive natural gas boom as power companies face surging electricity demand
06 May 2024 - 04:03