"Russia won't act against Azerbaijan even at Armenia's request"
    Caliber.Az interview with Alexander Vorobyov

    INTERVIEWS  25 November 2022 - 15:30

    Huseyn Safarov
    Caliber.Az

    Caliber.Az presents an interview with Alexander Vorobyov, researcher at the Centre for Central Asia, Caucasus and Ural-Volga region Studies at the Institute of Oriental Studies of the Russian Academy of Sciences, chairman of "The Eurasian Business Cooperation" organization, Ph.D. in History.

    - What policy do you think Russia is going to follow in the South Caucasus?

    - The current Russian policy in the South Caucasus is balanced. The goals are obvious - the encouragement of economic cooperation both within the region and between the countries of the South Caucasus and Russia. And also the development of transport corridors. On the whole, such a policy is beneficial to all parties. Economic prosperity and stability are in everyone's interest. The most negative scenario for Russia is a crisis, war, and inciting regional confrontation. These things are not in Russia's interests, but they may be in the interests of extra-regional players. That is why Russian policy in the South Caucasus is based on balanced positions.

    - What kind of dynamics should we expect in Russia's relations with Türkiye?

    - I think that we should not expect any dramatic breakthroughs, either positive or negative. Most likely, the policy we are currently observing in bilateral relations will continue. That is economic cooperation and some bargaining on the key geopolitical aspects, for example concerning Ukraine, Syria, and the Kurds. In general, Moscow and Ankara have a wide range of bilateral dialogue. This includes security, logistics, and the economy. I think that the key topics of bilateral dialogue between Russia and Türkiye will be the development of gas transit and food issues, including the grain deal and also trade and economic relations, where Türkiye acts as a hub for the transit of goods from third countries to Russia. This will mean an increase in trade turnover between Moscow and Ankara. And, of course, there are also tourism issues. In addition, one can expect further facilitation of mutual payments and the recognition of payment systems.

    Geopolitical issues, such as Ukraine and Syria, will create tension in relations at times. From time to time the tension may increase quite a lot, but in general, I think it will remain within the limits of tolerance, without excessive escalation.

    - Are there signs now that the West is trying to increase pressure on Russia through the South Caucasus?

    - Yes, there are. It seems that the West is trying to increase pressure on Russia through the South Caucasus, creating certain hotbeds of tension there - if not open hostilities, then at least the threat of them escalating. However, I do not think that these attempts are purposeful. Western countries have other interests in the South Caucasus and Central Asia, including economic ones, and regional instability can harm the economic, and raw material interests of the West itself besides Russia. In addition, the West understands that the countries of the South Caucasus will not be delighted with the fact that someone is trying to rock the situation, to destroy stability in the region. Certainly, there are certain attempts, but they are of a balanced or controlled nature.

    In general, of course, the West is trying to strengthen its political, economic, and military influence in the South Caucasus countries. But it is necessary to understand that the West has been doing exactly the same thing for the last 30 years. So there is nothing new in it. This is the usual competition of states for a place under the sun and for a piece of the pie.

    - CSTO summit was held in Yerevan on November 23. How do you assess summit results?

    - Armenia will hardly receive unscheduled military assistance from the CSTO. Some earlier planned deliveries may well take place. You should understand that Armenia is a member of the CSTO, and there are certain plans and schedules for military-technical cooperation. All this works in a duty, planned mode, but no more than that.

    And Russia will not oppose Azerbaijan because, as I pointed out above, Moscow seeks to pursue a balanced policy in the South Caucasus, and obviously taking a position in favor of one side runs counter to this policy of balance and interaction with all countries in the region.

    - Is there a threat of CSTO self-dissolution?

    - There is no such threat. Talks about this are speculative in nature and are intended to fuel an unhealthy atmosphere. There are no obvious reasons for the dissolution of the CSTO. The bloc is working, as usual, there is funding and an organizational structure. We also do not observe any political changes in the countries of the region, which would lead to a radical revision of the foreign policy of the CSTO member countries.

     

    Caliber.Az




Read also

Russia's attack on Ukraine showed that Finland needs stronger deterrence, expert says Caliber.Az from Helsinki

01 December 2022 - 16:32

Paul Goble: US and EU want peace between Baku and Yerevan, unlike Russia Conversation with American analyst

01 December 2022 - 12:38

"Belarus and Armenia cannot have any common interests!" Caliber.Az interview with Valery Karbalevich

29 November 2022 - 11:01

Expert: Russia's nuclear strike on Ukraine remains possible Vitaly Kulik hosted by Caliber.Az

28 November 2022 - 15:06

"Armenia can flirt with anyone, but what good will it do?" Caliber.Az interview with Russian pundit Alexander Skakov

28 November 2022 - 16:49

Baku-Yerevan peace treaty by yearend: expectations and reality Expert opinions on Caliber.Az

25 November 2022 - 16:39
ADVERTS
Latest news

    Russia's attack on Ukraine showed that Finland needs stronger deterrence, expert says

    Caliber.Az from Helsinki

    01 December 2022 - 16:32

    US diplomat: Biden requests $37 billion for Ukraine

    01 December 2022 - 16:25

    Armenian MFA confirms news of meeting between Ankara's, Yerevan's delegations at state border

    01 December 2022 - 16:25

    Turkish Army kills three terrorists in Iraq

    PHOTO

    01 December 2022 - 16:17

    General says 47 spy agencies implicated in Iran unrest

    01 December 2022 - 16:09

    Poll reveals declining trust of Armenians in Russia, France

    Iran, India and China are rising in ranks

    01 December 2022 - 16:01

    Belarusian Lukashenko accuses Kyiv of attempting to drag NATO into conflict

    01 December 2022 - 15:55

    NATO chief accuses Russia of evading constructive dialogue

    01 December 2022 - 15:48

    Yerevan approves pathogen transfer agreement with US

    01 December 2022 - 15:41

    WSJ: EU says it can’t seize frozen Russian central-bank assets for Ukraine

    01 December 2022 - 15:35

    Kyiv updates figures on Russian military losses

    01 December 2022 - 15:30

    Is Russia slowly embracing realpolitik in Ukraine?

    01 December 2022 - 15:23

    Turkish intelligence nabs 5 ISIS terrorists in northern Syria

    PHOTO

    01 December 2022 - 15:23

    Politics of Ukrainian reconstruction

    01 December 2022 - 15:16

    Russian FM's sensational statement: Armenia recognised Karabakh as part of Azerbaijan

    01 December 2022 - 15:14

    Professor: Armenian economy’s growth depends on continuation of war in Ukraine

    01 December 2022 - 15:04

    Ukraine reveals number of destroyed Russian cruise missiles

    01 December 2022 - 14:57

    Lynne Tracy believes Russia's withdrawal from region can lead to end of bloodshed

    01 December 2022 - 14:42

    Azerbaijani MP: French resolution of no significance to Azerbaijan

    01 December 2022 - 14:35

    US senior advisor arrives in Yerevan

    01 December 2022 - 14:31

    Lavrov says Azerbaijan ready to ensure rights of Karabakh Armenians

    01 December 2022 - 14:28

    Azerbaijani, Turkish, Armenian FMs hold brief conversation

    PHOTO

    01 December 2022 - 14:27

    Pentagon reports increasing Chinese military engagement in Middle East

    01 December 2022 - 14:21

    Moscow blames Washington, Paris for "burying" OSCE Minsk Group

    01 December 2022 - 14:14

    Armenian media comments on Pashinyan's unusual appointments within own political party

    01 December 2022 - 14:14

    Belgian former PM: Economic diversification - best choice for Azerbaijan

    01 December 2022 - 14:07

    Memorandums on international business cooperation signed in Azerbaijan

    01 December 2022 - 13:53

    Iran sends saboteurs to Karabakh

    Why? Against whom? / PHOTO

    01 December 2022 - 13:48

    Ukraine says casualty figures in war cannot be disclosed

    01 December 2022 - 13:46

    Anti-Azerbaijan resolution fails to get French government's support

    01 December 2022 - 13:39

    Azerbaijani parliament makes statement regarding biased resolution of French National Assembly

    01 December 2022 - 13:37

    Azerbaijan detains 47 border violators over last month

    01 December 2022 - 13:34

    Iranian company attempts to smuggle Armenia-made goods into Azerbaijan

    PHOTO / VIDEO

    01 December 2022 - 13:33

    Russian MFA: Bundestag resolution on "genocide" of Ukrainians - attempt to demonize Russia

    01 December 2022 - 13:20

    Iranian said shot dead for celebrating country's football team exit from FIFA World Cup

    01 December 2022 - 13:13

    Azerbaijani FM attends OSCE Ministerial Council meeting

    01 December 2022 - 13:11

    Moldovan MFA: Neutrality does not imply self-isolation, demilitarisation

    01 December 2022 - 13:06

    Ukrainian army reports on Russians falling back from their position in south

    Operational update

    01 December 2022 - 12:59

     US, Britain and India remain silent about death of China ex-president

    01 December 2022 - 12:51

    Türkiye to host national security council to discuss ground operation in Syria

    01 December 2022 - 12:44

    The increased Western pressure on the Sino-Russian alliance

    Hunt for a partner

    01 December 2022 - 12:40

    Paul Goble: US and EU want peace between Baku and Yerevan, unlike Russia

    Conversation with American analyst

    01 December 2022 - 12:38

    Blinken says Putin's attacks on Ukraine energy grid not to divide Kyiv allies

    01 December 2022 - 12:30

    Further reports emerge indicating Russia's plans for renewed military mobilisation

    01 December 2022 - 12:22

    Azercosmos reveals implemented projects in Karabakh

    01 December 2022 - 12:14

All news