"Armenia missed its chance to sign a peace treaty with Azerbaijan in 2022"
Caliber.Az interview with expert Dmitry Solonnikov
INTERVIEWS 28 December 2022 - 17:42
Matanat Nasibova Caliber.Az |
Caliber.Az had an interview with Dmitry Solonnikov, director of the Russian Institute of Contemporary State Development.
- How do you assess Armenia's refusal to participate in the talks with Azerbaijan in Moscow? What lies behind such an impudent demarche of the Armenian authorities?
- Armenia's refusal to participate in the planned trilateral talks in Moscow is a manifestation of a trend that surfaced in full force at the end of this year. Armenia will henceforth negotiate exclusively under the patronage of the West. Yerevan has finally decided that the current Armenian leadership is a protectorate of France and the US, so any political actions will be conducted by Armenia exclusively under their patronage, and in their presence.
For this reason, the talks in Moscow between the foreign ministers of Azerbaijan, Armenia, and Russia, where Sergei Lavrov was supposed to be the moderator of the negotiation process, have become unacceptable for Yerevan. The current Armenian leadership has made its choice and looks set to play by the rules dictated by Paris and Washington. Armenia's refusal of the negotiation platform initiated by non-NATO Euro-Atlantic organisations confirmed this once again.
- In your opinion, what was the year like in terms of the settlement of Armenian-Azerbaijani relations?
- I think the assessment of the outgoing year in terms of the normalisation of Armenian-Azerbaijani relations follows from the above-mentioned. I think 2022 was a year of an unrealised opportunity to sign a peace agreement and get out of the current situation. This could have been avoided if Armenia had pursued the implementation of previously signed agreements. However, due to the interference of Western forces, in particular France and the US, this chance could not be realised, which carried the problem into the future. So for the time being, a scenario has been set in motion that will keep Armenia from negotiating and signing a peace treaty.
In my opinion, the negotiations could have resulted in a breakthrough this year, we could have witnessed the signing of a border agreement, a peace treaty, the beginning of a new life in the South Caucasus, including a normal life in Armenia itself, involving large investments, construction of logistical infrastructure, increased trade and so on. But no, Armenia has chosen a different direction and this is its own choice.
- So, the possibility of signing a peace agreement next year remains low, too?
- There will be a senseless prolongation of the negotiation process, in terms of making decisions not to sign anything. It will be a deception of all the negotiating parties on the part of Europe, France in particular. Such a policy has already been implemented relatively successfully in Minsk, and now the same scenario will try to be applied to the resolution of the Armenian-Azerbaijani conflict. In this connection, they will pump Armenia with arms, deceive Azerbaijan and Russia, and announce in advance what they will not do. In a word, the deceitful French diplomacy will now be applied in the South Caucasus. In this case, the negotiations will not end positively, and we will see new advisers, observers, and instructors from NATO countries being sent to Armenia under any pretext. Consequently, the situation around the negotiation process will deteriorate.
- In Armenia, certain forces are calling for a new war with Azerbaijan, in particular, former Prime Minister Khosrov Harutyunyan recently voiced this idea. Are there any serious preconditions for such a scenario in the future?
- A full-fledged war is impossible in the near future. However, both France and the US will push Armenia for revenge. To do this, they will reformat Armenia to NATO standards, and they will debate that Armenia lost the 44-day war to Azerbaijan due to the lack of the right tactics, proper weapons, and good allies. In this regard, the Armenian army will be retrained according to the NATO model, convinced that the Armenians will be able to win a new war. Against this background, calls for revenge and a new war, for which Armenia will prepare with the help of Western states, will undoubtedly intensify. I believe that the current Armenian leadership will follow exactly this scenario.
Caliber.Az
1
|
Critical F-35 upgrade deferred, 2024 production slashed by 27-50%
01 May 2024 - 09:05
|
2
|
Factory burst into flames in Germany PHOTO / VIDEO
03 May 2024 - 16:19
|
3
|
EU aid to Armenia stalled as Hungary pushes for Azerbaijan's inclusion Geopolitical tensions revealed
02 May 2024 - 17:41
|
4
|
BRICS de-dollarization threatens US economy, JP Morgan CEO predicts
01 May 2024 - 20:49
|
5
|
Turning point for Georgia - Foreign Agents Law Georgian experts’ views for Caliber.Az
02 May 2024 - 12:40
|
Azerbaijan, EU focus on development of Middle Corridor
04 May 2024 - 12:34
Georgian PM highlights active involvement of foreign-funded organizations in attempted revolutions
04 May 2024 - 12:19
Azerbaijan clears Khankandi of Armenian weapons
New trophies/PHOTO04 May 2024 - 12:04
Baku-Riyadh alliance: Spearheading non-oil trade and green energy initiatives
Tradition of beneficial ties04 May 2024 - 11:53
Israel briefs US on plan to move Gazans ahead of Rafah op
04 May 2024 - 11:40
Ban on Russian uranium helps US build nuclear fuel capacity
Official says04 May 2024 - 11:28
Türkiye halts trade with Israel over Gaza war
04 May 2024 - 11:16
Russia promises “devastating revenge” if Ukraine attacks Crimean Bridge
04 May 2024 - 11:04
Reaper drones move to top of Ukraine’s wish list
04 May 2024 - 10:52
European Council chief urges Georgia to seize historic opportunity
04 May 2024 - 10:40
What to expect from China’s stance on Palestine?
A long track of mediation04 May 2024 - 10:28
ADB Executive Director sees COP29 as chance for productive collaboration with Azerbaijan
04 May 2024 - 10:16
Israel said to give Hamas week ultimatum to choose between hostage deal, Rafah invasion
04 May 2024 - 10:04
Presidential aide: EU has distinctive chance to bolster peace, development in the region
04 May 2024 - 09:59
Lithuania extends its expertise to Baku, Yerevan on communication unblockage
04 May 2024 - 09:49
India enhances ATAGS artillery system for Armenia with advanced modernization
04 May 2024 - 09:37
Azerbaijan extends invitations to COP29, strengthening global participation efforts
04 May 2024 - 09:25
EC chief engages in talks on COP29, demining with Azerbaijani ministers
PHOTO04 May 2024 - 09:10
Apple unveils record $110 billion buyback as results beat low expectations
04 May 2024 - 09:07
First motorcycle engine without gasoline or electricity
it runs on something better04 May 2024 - 07:03
China, America trade blame for world on fire
04 May 2024 - 05:04
Japan faces a tough tug-of-war with yen bears
04 May 2024 - 03:05
Orangutan seen using medicinal plant to treat wound in first for wild animals
04 May 2024 - 01:03
Bosnia accuses Israeli diplomat of genocide denial
"Disgrace to diplomacy"03 May 2024 - 23:01
Traffic accident leaves one dead in Azerbaijan’s Kalbajar
03 May 2024 - 21:07
Azertac hosts 31st meeting of CIS state news agencies, focuses on cooperation & future initiatives
03 May 2024 - 20:55
Azerbaijan, Russia hold negotiations on development of transport cooperation
03 May 2024 - 20:51
Japan, US, Australia, Philippines agree on rules-based Indo-Pacific
03 May 2024 - 20:36
Azerbaijan’s Aghdam holds special session within sixth World Forum on Intercultural Dialogue
03 May 2024 - 20:21
Armenian top prosecutor seeks investigation of premier over border delimitation
03 May 2024 - 20:15
Pro-Armenian Senator Menendez pretends to be crazy
He fears of not having enough money03 May 2024 - 20:06
SOCAR to join UN Oil & Gas Methane Partnership 2.0 program, says department head
03 May 2024 - 19:58
Azerbaijani, Russian deputy PMs discuss trade, economic issues
03 May 2024 - 19:51
Azerbaijan seeks cinema sector collaboration with Italy, says culture minister
03 May 2024 - 19:45
Italy to send latest package of military aid to Ukraine before G7 summit in June
03 May 2024 - 19:36
Russian leader plans to meet Xi in China days after his new term starts
03 May 2024 - 19:21
The Guardian: Preparation for COP29 underway
03 May 2024 - 19:06
UK’s Defence Ministry: Ukraine demonstrates ability to strike much further into Russia
03 May 2024 - 18:51
Azerbaijani minister, EC chief mull EU partnership in COP29 framework
03 May 2024 - 18:45
Azerbaijan, Saudi Arabia strengthening energy partnership
PHOTO03 May 2024 - 18:36