Will Antony Blinken's visit overshadow the China-Russia partnership?
    Preventive shot

    ANALYTICS  22 April 2024 - 15:05

    Fuad Shahbazov

    US State Secretary Antony Blinken is set to embark on a crucial visit to China in the coming days. This visit holds immense significance as it aims to strengthen the relations and partnership between the two countries and to address the Beijing-Moscow strategic partnership. The Biden administration's recent concerns over China's military-technical support to Russia during its invasion campaign against Ukraine have added a sense of urgency to this visit. In fact, President Joe Biden himself engaged in a phone conversation with Xi in early April, marking their first discussion since their historic in-person summit in November.

    Blinken will meet with senior Chinese officials in both Shanghai and Beijing during his April 24-26 visit. The White House statement mentions that Blinken has three primary objectives for his trip to China. First, making progress on key issues; second, clearly and directly communicating concerns on bilateral, regional, and global issues; and third, responsibly managing competition. In addition to Ukraine, the Israel-Hamas and Israel-Iran tensions will also be discussed during the visit. Hoping to highlight the change in atmosphere, Blinken will stop before Beijing in the modern metropolis of Shanghai, where officials say he will promote stronger people-to-people ties between the two countries.

    The US and its allies are growing increasingly impatient with Beijing's continuous support to Moscow, ranging from chips to cruise missile engines, to aid in the reconstruction of its industrial base. While the US government has not explicitly outlined plans to counter Chinese influence and the China-Russia partnership, the Biden administration's rhetoric suggests that economic and financial sanctions on China may be imminent. This hints at the possibility that Blinken's visit to China is more than just a diplomatic exchange, but a potential warning to Beijing that its actions are being closely monitored.

    In its bid to counter China's support for Russia, the US rallied the support of G7 countries. These nations have recently expressed 'strong concern' over the transfer of materials and weapons components from Chinese businesses to Russia for its military offensive in Ukraine. The G7 statement highlights China's role in providing machine tools, semiconductors, and other dual-use items that have aided Russia in rebuilding its defence industrial base. The transfer of such materials from Chinese companies has been instrumental in advancing Russia's military production, according to the G7.

    The two years of war in Ukraine have reached a critical phase as Russia adapted to new realities on the ground and shifted its strategy, enabling it to advance in Ukraine, while Kyiv is experiencing a shortage of ammunition and human resources. Indeed, China-US relations strained dramatically in the last five years, though both leaders gathered together in San Francisco in November 2023. Nevertheless, some analysts argue that Blinken's upcoming visit aims to increase pressure on China regarding the South China Sea, the Taiwan issue, and support to Russia.

    Moreover, Blinken’s attempts to intimidate China will not yield results. China will definitely hit back resolutely. It will also be highly vigilant about the Taiwan question and won't let the US hurt its core interests. The US has been bracing for Taiwan's May 20 presidential inauguration and will urge restraint by Beijing even as China's military has ramped up activity near the island. In the weeks leading up to the inauguration, Taiwan officials reported several attempts by the Chinese government to intimidate the island, escalating military pressure and disinformation campaigns.

    Despite the US seeking new rapprochement with China, Beijing now seems concerned about domestic policy. The current economic slowdown puts pressure on Chinese authorities as the rate of youth unemployment grows and the government struggles to tackle inflation issues. Therefore, it is unlikely that Chinese leader Xi Jinping will be willing to discuss and reassess relations with Russia during Blinken’s visit. China sees its partnership with Russia as a viable counter-balance against the US, particularly in light of the Ukraine war.

    Nevertheless, Washington will inevitably focus on obstructing China's trade with Russia, and Beijing will face a new struggle with the US in terms of defending its trade interests globally. Beijing has maintained close ties with Moscow during the war, increasing economic cooperation and disrupting Western attempts at isolating Russia. Expanded trade with China has played a key role in allowing Moscow to keep its economy running and ramp up its military industry despite Western economic pressure.


    Subscribe to our Telegram channel

Read also

Momentum surges as Chinese trucks embark on Azerbaijan's Middle Corridor journey Driving towards success

25 May 2024 - 11:21

Amid regional tension & domestic opposition, Armenia returns occupied villages to Azerbaijan after 30 years Historic handover sets stage for peace talks

25 May 2024 - 09:17

Azerbaijan, Tajikistan elevate bilateral relations through strategic partnership agreements

24 May 2024 - 13:00

Tensions run high between the Pashinyan government & the Armenian Apostolic Church Government's vision vs. Church-led opposition

24 May 2024 - 09:35

IAEA ignores nuclear dangers of Armenia's aging Metsamor NPP Double standards

25 May 2024 - 12:28

Israel faces dual threat: Potential two-front war and refugee crisis Axis of Resistance ramps up attacks

23 May 2024 - 18:10
Latest news

    The Guardian: After Macron’s visit, New Caledonia’s Kanak demand their own future

    "Not our president"

    25 May 2024 - 12:52

    NATO chief wants to free Ukraine to strike hard inside Russia

    25 May 2024 - 12:40

    IAEA ignores nuclear dangers of Armenia's aging Metsamor NPP

    Double standards

    25 May 2024 - 12:28

    Egypt agrees to resume aid to Gaza through Israel after US pressure

    25 May 2024 - 12:16

    Musk reveals "tough problem" battling Russian jamming efforts on Starlink

    Amid Ukraine war

    25 May 2024 - 12:06

    King Charles III expresses hope for continued UK-Azerbaijan collaboration on key global matters

    25 May 2024 - 11:58

    Azerbaijani Army's engineering units excel in combat training sessions

    25 May 2024 - 11:56

    Media: Pashinyan considered imposing state of emergency

    25 May 2024 - 11:44

    Türkiye achieves 5 million cubic meters per day in Black Sea gas production

    25 May 2024 - 11:32

    Momentum surges as Chinese trucks embark on Azerbaijan's Middle Corridor journey

    Driving towards success

    25 May 2024 - 11:21

    Media: Armenian PM's helicopter makes emergency landing

    25 May 2024 - 11:12

    NATO forming network of cyber labs along Russia's borders - Foreign Ministry

    25 May 2024 - 11:07

    Russia downs three Ukrainian drones over Belgorod, Kursk regions

    25 May 2024 - 10:54

    Ukraine aid from Russian assets moving forward in G-7 draft

    25 May 2024 - 10:42

    Another migration caravan left for Azerbaijan’s Shusha


    25 May 2024 - 10:28

    Erdogan greenlights revisions to Azerbaijan-Türkiye trade agreement

    25 May 2024 - 10:16

    Armenia detains alleged "mayors" of formerly occupied Azerbaijani towns

    25 May 2024 - 10:13

    Azerbaijan increases reconstruction budget for liberated territories by 27%

    25 May 2024 - 10:04

    US introduces legislation proposing sanctions against Georgia

    25 May 2024 - 09:52

    Armenian border guards secure delimited section of border with Azerbaijan

    Pashinyan addresses to nation

    25 May 2024 - 09:40

    Azerbaijan boosts defence, national security budget by 11%

    25 May 2024 - 09:28

    Amid regional tension & domestic opposition, Armenia returns occupied villages to Azerbaijan after 30 years

    Historic handover sets stage for peace talks

    25 May 2024 - 09:17

    Azerbaijani Parliament issues formal protest to Czech Republic

    25 May 2024 - 09:07

    Bhutan turns to "Gross National Happiness 2.0" as crisis deepens

    25 May 2024 - 09:07

    Replicator drones already being delivered

    Pentagon says

    25 May 2024 - 07:03

    Juneau inventor wants to bring ocean energy to your outlets

    25 May 2024 - 05:04

    European Commission president backs Polish, Greek calls for EU air defense shield

    25 May 2024 - 03:05

    Korea invents new fuel we don’t know about in US

    goodbye to refueling gasoline

    25 May 2024 - 01:03

    Why US semiconductor export controls backfire?

    24 May 2024 - 23:00

    COP29 presidency hosts international diplomatic corps in Lachin

    Climate Action Dialogue event

    24 May 2024 - 22:36

    US delegation visits Lachin, Shusha, applauds reconstruction efforts


    24 May 2024 - 21:04

    NATO summit to be held in Hague in 2025

    24 May 2024 - 20:52

    Turkish president calls for UN reform amid global crises

    24 May 2024 - 20:39

    Azerbaijani, German top diplomats focus on peace process between Baku, Yerevan

    24 May 2024 - 20:24

    Armenian premier to address the nation

    24 May 2024 - 20:24

    Russian FM remains vague on reasons for ambassador's recall from Armenia

    24 May 2024 - 20:12

    Hungarian water quality control technology to be implemented in Azerbaijan

    24 May 2024 - 19:57

    Six new enterprises set to launch in Aghdam industrial park by year-end

    24 May 2024 - 19:42

    French president, Arab ministers to meet over situation in Gaza

    24 May 2024 - 19:27

    Israel ordered to immediately halt Rafah offensive by top UN court

    24 May 2024 - 19:12

All news