Macron’s snub to COP29: Petulant and puerile display of pique against Israel and Azerbaijan American media on France’s path toward isolation

Newsmax, the American news outlet, has published an article by Martin Sherman that takes a critical look at French President Macron's increasingly hostile stance towards both Israel and Azerbaijan. 

Martin Sherman is no stranger to matters of security and defence. With seven years of experience in Israel's defence establishment, he is the founder of the Israel Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS) and a member of the Israel Defence and Security Studies Forum (IDSF). His expertise lends a sharp perspective on the geopolitical landscape.

We’re excited to share his thought-provoking piece with our Caliber.Az readers.

Could France under the Macron government be on a head-on collision course with the newly elected Trump administration? There is good reason to make the case that this might well be so.

Ominous indications

Indeed, an ominous indication of the deterioration of French policy and its divergence from U.S.-led Western consensus could, arguably, have been evident in a recent decision to release the long-imprisoned Lebanese terrorist, Georges Ibrahim Abdallah.

Abdallah was sentenced to life in prison in 1987 for his involvement in the 1982 murders of a U.S. military attaché and an Israeli diplomat in Paris, as well as in an assassination attempt on an American consul in Strasbourg.

He has long been eligible to apply for parole, but all previous applications had been turned down except in one case over a decade ago — which was blocked by the then-incumbent French government. Significantly, the then-U.S. ambassador to France criticized the parole decision, noting that Abdallah had never expressed remorse and could still pose a threat.

Indeed, the U.S. has consistently opposed Abdallah’s release and to date, there has been no change in Washington’s position. True, French anti-terror prosecutors declared they would appeal the release order, but it is difficult to shake the feeling that the judicial decision could be a reflection of the new winds blowing from the Elysee Palace.

Animus abrew

Regrettably, this adversarial attitude from Paris toward both Israel and America has been long abrew.

Thus, last June, France's Defense Ministry issued a decree banning Israeli participation in a premier weapons exhibition, Eurosatory. The fact the ban was struck down by the French judiciary did little to deter the Macron government from imposing an additional ban on Israeli companies from taking part in another event, Euronaval, that took place earlier this month, which was also annulled by the courts

Perversely, while France barred Israeli security companies from prestigious arms exhibitions on its soil, some of the over 200 French companies taking part in the event are known to be licensed suppliers of Iran's Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC).

Moreover, nine companies reportedly are listed by Iran as authorized suppliers of its energy industries. Even more infuriatingly, some of the Iranian companies, with which the French firms were doing business, were under U.S.-imposed sanctions!

Macron has also been a leading figure in promoting an arms embargo against an embattled Israel, locked in a mortal, multi-front battle against the forces of Islamic terror. In an uncalled-for admonition, Macron had the gall to accuse Israel of “sowing barbarism” in its struggle to repel the naked barbarism of its enemies.

Lending leniency for “lolly”?

At the end of last month, a leading Israeli site carried an accusation that “France’s recent hostility towards the Jewish state may be motivated by an additional layer of corruption.” This harsh charge was based on revelations by a renowned French journalist and Middle East expert Georges Malbrunot.

Malbrunot prompted a furore following his exposure of a secret deal made in 2020 between Macron and Hezbollah in Lebanon.

According to Malbrunot, Macron met with a US-sanctioned Hezbollah operative in an unprecedented meeting between a Western leader and a senior representative of a major terrorist organization. The purpose of the meeting was to broker a multi-billion dollar deal for reconstruction in the Beirut port, largely demolished by yet-unattributed explosions in 2020 — although understandably suspicions of Hezbollah’s involvement abound.

By Malbrunot’s account, Macron agreed to overlook any Hezbollah activity in the region as a condition for a contract being awarded to a French consortium, headed by a Franco-Lebanese billionaire Rodolphe Saadé, owner of BFM TV and the French maritime company CMA-CGM.

These shenanigans portray France’s president in a somewhat unflattering light — prioritizing corporate profits over the security of Lebanon and Israel alike — and lending leniency, if not legitimacy, to the Iranian-backed terror group notwithstanding its pernicious nature.

Puerile & petulant pique?

This malign sentiment toward Israel, and benign affinity for its foes, seems to have spilled over to France’s attitude toward Israel’s allies as well. This is clearly the case regarding Azerbaijan and symbolized by France's (and Iran’s) absence from the U.N. Climate Change Conference (COP29).

This seems a somewhat petulant and puerile display of pique, especially given the importance of the climate issue for French diplomacy and Macron’s own agenda. According to a Le Monde analysis, this represents “An unprecedented crisis between France and Azerbaijan”. According to the paper, this is “the consequence of a steady deterioration in relations between Paris and Baku, which has its origins in France's strong support for Armenia in its territorial dispute with Azerbaijan”, and the supply of French military equipment to Yerevan.

In this regard, one should recall some “questionable” conduct by Armenia in recent years — among other matters acting as a conduit for merchandise to Iran and Russia, in violation of Western sanctions. Indeed, in light of recently reported large-scale deals with Tehran, there is concern that Armenia may become an Iranian proxy in the Caucasus (see also here.)

According to some sources, Baku has despaired of any improvement in bilateral ties under Macron, whom they see as under undue influence from the powerful Armenian diaspora in France. Thus, any progress toward enhancement of relations may have to wait for a post-Macron era.

Sadly, the same might be true for Israel as well.

By Tamilla Hasanova