Armenia’s military build-up & western alignments risk renewed conflict
    Baku warns Yerevan

    ANALYTICS  23 June 2024 - 11:39

    Matanat Nasibova

    Recent developments in Armenia, driven by a strengthening pro-Western agenda amidst French and US activism, could seriously impact the Armenian-Azerbaijani settlement. During Defense Minister Suren Papikyan's visit to Paris, Armenia signed a contract for the supply of French CAESAR self-propelled artillery units, purchasing 36 units of 155mm howitzers from France to be delivered within 15 months. This action suggests that despite declarations of readiness for peace, Armenia is actively preparing for war by acquiring offensive weapons.

    US Undersecretary of State for European and Eurasian Affairs James O'Brien's visit to Yerevan resulted in an agreement to upgrade the US-Armenia strategic dialogue to the Strategic Partnership Commission. The US plans to provide Armenia with funds under the Foreign Military Financing (FMF) program to facilitate access to advanced military equipment and technologies, raising doubts about Washington's sincerity regarding peace in the region. Through the FMF program, the US aims to enhance Armenia's access to modern military technologies, including the widespread use of GPS technology.

    The West's strategy appears aimed at preventing the normalization of Armenian-Azerbaijani relations, which have seen progress through direct negotiations without mediators. Positive results, such as the beginning of border demarcation and delimitation and the transfer of four villages in Gazakh District to Azerbaijan, are not in the interests of the US and France, as peace could undermine their ambitions in the South Caucasus.

    Increased shelling of Azerbaijani positions by Armenian forces suggests Western incitement of Yerevan to new provocations. Armenia’s leadership, influenced by its Western patrons, demonstrates weak political will, potentially leading to a new destructive war, with Yerevan at risk of another defeat. Azerbaijan remains committed to peace, having restored its territorial integrity and sovereignty by liberating Karabakh. President Ilham Aliyev has repeatedly affirmed Azerbaijan's readiness to defend its national interests. He warned, "If we see the slightest threat to our security, this threat will be immediately destroyed wherever it is."

    Aliyev reiterated this stance during a recent meeting in Shusha, emphasizing Azerbaijan’s policy is based on international law and justice. He cautioned, "If we see Armenia receiving lethal weapons from France and this armament has reached a critical level, let no one take offense at us. Everyone knows what our army is capable of and how firm our will is."

    These statements address not only Armenia and France but also other countries interested in regional destabilization, including India, which is actively arming Armenia. Yerevan recently signed a contract with New Delhi for about $245 million, including PINAKA MLRS, anti-tank missile systems, and ammunition. Armenia received the first batch of Indian towed artillery systems (ATAGS) in August 2023, with another 84 howitzers worth $155.5 million to be delivered. Armenia also expects Indian AKASH air defense systems worth up to $720 million and plans to purchase TAPAS-BH-201 (Rustom-II) attack drones.

    Yerevan’s extensive military acquisitions indicate an ongoing desire for revenge, buoyed by Western promises and support regarding the "return" of Karabakh. This stance, confirmed by Armenia's refusal to revise its constitution, indicates continued territorial claims against Azerbaijan and Turkey. Consequently, Armenia is stepping on old rakes, setting itself up for new upheavals likely to be tragic. Yerevan is inching closer to a Third Karabakh War, disregarding the lessons from the bitter experience of 2020. Baku has made its position clear.


    Subscribe to our Telegram channel

Read also

Failed intelligence sparks outrage after Trump attack Changing role of US on world stage

14 July 2024 - 15:04

Azerbaijan's strategic shift: Balancing power in a new world order Will Azerbaijan align with the East or the West?

14 July 2024 - 09:20

Polite Azerbaijan, vague Ukraine and confused France Weekly review with Azerbaijani political analyst

14 July 2024 - 13:09

What does Azerbaijan want from Armenia? National interests over maximalism

13 July 2024 - 14:48

Border incident reinforces Azerbaijan's stance on Zangazur corridor security Post-conflict focus

13 July 2024 - 14:15

Azerbaijan-Armenia: Three gradations of accord: Where are we now? Contemplations with Orkhan Amashov/VIDEO

13 July 2024 - 13:48
Latest news

    Malayan tiger conservation at risk

    Deaths spark national concern

    15 July 2024 - 00:03

    Rawlemon spheres promise enhanced efficiency

    Solar revolution

    14 July 2024 - 22:03

    F-16 deployment triggers S-400 confrontation concerns

    14 July 2024 - 20:03

    Türkiye condemns violence against US presidential candidate

    14 July 2024 - 18:13

    Trump backers turn assassination attempt into fundraising bonanza

    14 July 2024 - 18:03

    Beijing & Moscow launch joint military drills amid NATO Summit

    14 July 2024 - 17:49

    Baku Shipyard: A hub of innovation & industrial growth


    14 July 2024 - 17:46

    Attempted assassination of Trump sparks political firestorm

    14 July 2024 - 17:35

    Georgian PM blames “Global War Party” for Trump assassination attempt

    14 July 2024 - 17:17

    Kremlin reacts to US ex-president’s assassination attempt

    14 July 2024 - 17:03

    Azerbaijani Defense Ministry releases weekly review

    14 July 2024 - 16:48

    Unprecedented attack: Gunman targets Trump at Pennsylvania rally

    14 July 2024 - 16:32

    Global reactions to Iran's president-elect's foreign policy stance

    14 July 2024 - 15:51

    Hezbollah deploys new Shahed drones against Israel

    14 July 2024 - 15:35

    Azerbaijan thwarts large drug trafficking operation

    14 July 2024 - 15:20

    Failed intelligence sparks outrage after Trump attack

    Changing role of US on world stage

    14 July 2024 - 15:04

    Xi Jinping expresses compassion for Trump after assassination attempt

    14 July 2024 - 14:47

    Kremlin: Deep confrontation between West & Russia shows no signs of easing

    14 July 2024 - 14:32

    Marine Le Pen condemns Trump assassination attempt

    Decries rising western violence

    14 July 2024 - 14:17

    Western nations maintain ban on Ukrainian strikes into Russian territory

    14 July 2024 - 14:11

    Macron condemns attempted assassination on Trump

    Wishes him speedy recovery

    14 July 2024 - 13:55

    Germany unprepared for Trump victory, says Jens Spahn

    14 July 2024 - 13:39

    Erdogan condemns Trump assassination attempt

    Calling for swift justice

    14 July 2024 - 13:24

    Polite Azerbaijan, vague Ukraine and confused France

    Weekly review with Azerbaijani political analyst

    14 July 2024 - 13:09

    Hungarian premier backs Trump after assassination attempt

    14 July 2024 - 12:53

    Chinese exports to Russia rise in June

    14 July 2024 - 12:37

    FBI identifies shooter in assassination attempt on Trump

    14 July 2024 - 12:23

    Azerbaijan commemorates fourth anniversary of Gen Hashimov's death

    Symbol of bravery, patriotism in Azerbaijan

    14 July 2024 - 12:08

    Trump makes first public appearance in New Jersey since Pennsylvania rally shooting

    14 July 2024 - 11:53

    EU, NATO criticise Hungarian PM's unilateral diplomacy on Ukraine peace deal

    14 July 2024 - 11:37

    Armenian PM, US official discuss peace process with Azerbaijan

    14 July 2024 - 11:21

    Hungarian premier dissuades Ukraine from joining NATO

    14 July 2024 - 11:06

    Azerbaijani president condemns assassination attempt on Trump

    Wishes him a speedy recovery

    14 July 2024 - 10:55

    Belarus highlights Russia’s willingness to negotiate

    14 July 2024 - 10:52

    US leaders condemn political violence and express relief over Trump's safety

    14 July 2024 - 10:36

    Hamas ceases communication with Gaza reps

    14 July 2024 - 10:36

    Organization of Turkic States credited for granting observer status to TRNC

    14 July 2024 - 10:21

    Turkish leader cautious on prospects for swift resolution to Ukrainian conflict

    14 July 2024 - 10:05

    Consulate efforts yield passports for Azerbaijani citizens illegally living in Türkiye

    14 July 2024 - 09:50

    Bullet pierces Trump's ear at Pennsylvania rally, prompting quick response

    14 July 2024 - 09:31

All news