Media: Ukraine faces shortage of critical NATO weapons amid political tensions

Ukraine is running dangerously low on vital NATO-supplied weaponry, with one of the most pressing concerns being a significant depletion of ATACMS (Army Tactical Missile Systems). This shortage comes at a critical time, as political maneuvering intensifies ahead of the Riyadh summit.

A recent report by The National Interest reads that in an apparent effort to force Ukraine’s leadership into a negotiated settlement, the Trump administration abruptly halted key supplies, funding, and intelligence sharing just before the summit. However, following Ukraine’s agreement to a 30-day ceasefire, the U.S. restored these critical resources, potentially as a tactic to pressure Moscow into accepting American terms, or perhaps signaling a lack of serious commitment to the negotiations.

Ukraine's urgent need for ATACMS

Since 2023, Ukraine has received around 500 ATACMS, crucial long-range missile systems that have played a key role in the conflict. With the Ukrainian military’s operational tempo, it's evident that these systems are in short supply. If not replenished soon, Ukraine's military effectiveness could be severely compromised, undermining any chance for a successful ceasefire or a negotiated settlement with Russia.

Russia, having recently regained territory, is in a stronger position than ever. Without fresh supplies of ATACMS, it is unlikely that Moscow will entertain a ceasefire, knowing the Ukrainians’ weakened position. Any pause in fighting could bolster Ukraine’s forces, while leaving Russia vulnerable—something President Putin is unlikely to agree to.

Challenges in NATO’s defense industrial base

The West's ability to sustain Ukraine’s military needs is increasingly in doubt. Reports suggest that NATO’s defense industrial base, especially the U.S., is struggling to keep up with the demand for weapons like the ATACMS. The production line for these advanced missile systems is currently stretched thin, and NATO is facing significant difficulties replenishing its stockpiles.

ATACMS, manufactured by Lockheed Martin, can strike targets up to 190 miles away and are launched from the U.S.-made HIMARS or M270 Multiple Launch Rocket Systems. The shortage of these systems is a critical blow to Ukraine’s ability to continue its defense against Russian advances.

With NATO’s arsenal running low and its industrial base unable to meet demand, the Trump administration may consider scaling back its commitments to Ukraine, seeking to negotiate an end to the conflict and an exit strategy for the United States.

By Khagan Isayev