"Moscow disengages in every possible way from Pashinyan's unreliable regime"
Russian experts for Caliber.Az
INTERVIEWS 30 August 2022 - 17:35
Huseyn Safarov Caliber.Az |
The Second Karabakh War ended with the signing of the Trilateral Declaration on November 10, 2020. On that day, the president of Azerbaijan and the prime minister of Armenia inked a joint document mediated by Russian President Vladimir Putin. De facto, this can be considered Armenia's surrender. However, Armenia has been stalling the signing of a peace treaty with Azerbaijan for almost two years now.
In his interview with Caliber.Az political scientist Alexander Shatilov, Dean of Faculty of Sociology and Political Science of Financial University under the Government of Russian Federation, expressed his view on the developments in the region.
The first thing to which the expert pays attention is a very calm reaction of the Russian leadership to the cleansing of the Lachin district by Azerbaijan, which, in his opinion, is evidence of quite cool relations between Moscow and Yerevan at the moment.
"Moreover, as pro-Western forces in Armenia seek to demonize Russia (saying it has surrendered Karabakh), the Russian leadership is trying to distance itself as much as possible from the unreliable Pashinyan regime, and indeed from the Armenian track in general. First, the Ukrainian direction is much more important to Moscow, and Yerevan is either unwilling or unable to help. Second, the Armenian elite's active contacts with the US and the EU, often to the detriment of Russian interests, seem to have angered the Kremlin, which has received accusations of "betrayal" from the Armenian side in response to years of military, political and economic support. Third, amid the tense battle over Ukraine between the Russian Federation and the West, it is important for Moscow, even at the cost of certain concessions, to ensure the neutrality of Türkiye and Azerbaijan. So, apparently, at the moment, the relations between Russia and Armenia are in the state of deepening crisis," Shatilov concludes.
Meanwhile, a meeting between Ilham Aliyev and Nikol Pashinyan has already been announced for August 31 in Brussels, with the participation of European Council President Charles Michel, and the reasonable question arises as to whether Brussels is trying to squeeze Moscow out of the Armenian-Azerbaijani settlement.
Stanislav Mitrakhovich, an expert of the National Energy Security Fund and researcher at the Financial University under the Russian government, shared his standpoint on this issue with Caliber.Az, expressing a very sceptical attitude towards the EU mediation efforts.
"I think Moscow lacks the strength for all other areas of diplomatic, military, and economic activity, as it is engaged with the current operation in Ukraine. There is not even enough bureaucracy to do it all, so active mediation on the Armenian-Azerbaijani settlement inevitably falters. Thus, other players, including the EU, are trying to take advantage of the situation. However, this does not mean that the EU will be able to take Russia's place in this matter. There have not yet been examples of the EU successfully resolving international conflicts, and everything it has tried to do has failed. For example, the EU resolved the key issues in the Balkans with the help of NATO. Now all kinds of tasks to deter Russia by force are also carried out through NATO. In other words, there are no examples of the EU doing anything on its own. For example, there are KFOR forces operating in Serbia and Kosovo, but again this is not the EU, but a separate structure that is much closer to NATO. In other words, I don't see the likelihood of the EU effectively pulling something off on its own.
In addition, I do not think that Baku and Yerevan are on the verge of signing any document. Agreements that would suit everyone are not in sight yet. And this tendency is due to the fact that Russia is now relaxed, so the parties to the conflict are looking for other players to lean on. Meanwhile, the EU is trying to replace Russia as much as possible," Mitrakhovich said.
Caliber.Az
1
|
20 points. What did Armenia, the EU and the US agree on in Brussels? Sensational details on Caliber.Az
17 April 2024 - 11:01
|
2
|
Caliber.Az to reveal sensational details of "Brussels meeting" Important announcement
16 April 2024 - 12:09
|
3
|
Iran seeks international backing following missile strikes on Israel Raisi calls Russia & Qatari leaders amid tension
17 April 2024 - 16:56
|
4
|
Serbian President seeks Azerbaijani support amid Western pressures Insights from Political Scientist Stevan Gajić
17 April 2024 - 13:10
|
5
|
French ambassador recalled from Azerbaijan amidst bilateral strain Macron admits defeat
17 April 2024 - 15:19
|
Farewell to metals in industry forever
19 April 2024 - 01:03
Poland to join European Sky Shield scheme, following thaw with Berlin
18 April 2024 - 23:00
UN chief sees risk of full-scale conflict in Middle East
18 April 2024 - 21:16
Azerbaijan, Austria discuss areas of potential cooperation
PHOTO18 April 2024 - 21:04
Azerbaijan discusses partnership opportunities with CICA at COP29
PHOTO18 April 2024 - 20:53
Russian Army deploys new version of BM-27 Uragan MLRS Rocket Launcher in Ukraine
18 April 2024 - 20:40
Europe moves forward with major hydrogen projects
18 April 2024 - 20:27
US, Britain issue new sanctions on Iran in response to Tehran's attack on Israel
18 April 2024 - 20:13
Türkiye's Togg starts working on new B-SUV model
18 April 2024 - 19:59
US commends Azerbaijani deminers, pledges support for complete demining of lands
18 April 2024 - 19:46
Georgian opposition announces “full mobilization”
18 April 2024 - 19:32
Azerbaijan, Austria discuss implementation of joint industrial projects
18 April 2024 - 19:18
Israeli forces withdraw from area of Nuseirat refugee camp in central Gaza
18 April 2024 - 19:04
Azerbaijani parliament speaker: France eyes to continue colonialism policy in South Caucasus
18 April 2024 - 18:49
Iran warns it knows where Israel's nuclear sites
"Our hands - on trigger"18 April 2024 - 18:34
Congress Committee’s rep: New Caledonia expresses gratitude to Azerbaijan
18 April 2024 - 18:19
Historian: France trying to destroy culture of Kanak people
18 April 2024 - 18:04
Iran oil exports hit six-year high as West prepares sanctions
18 April 2024 - 17:49
Russia, Azerbaijan announce withdrawal of peacekeepers from Karabakh
Signaling a new phase in post-conflict dynamics18 April 2024 - 17:46
What to expect from Russia’s withdrawal from Karabakh?
Looking for new horizons18 April 2024 - 17:41
Baku Initiative Group: Azerbaijan fighting against colonialism, neo-colonialism
18 April 2024 - 17:34
Azerbaijan holding conference with New Caledonian Congress reps
18 April 2024 - 17:19
Lies and provocation of Iran's ambassador to Armenia
We have something to remind him18 April 2024 - 17:13
Miscalculation leads to escalation in clash between Israel, Iran
18 April 2024 - 17:04
EU's rep voices grave concerns over escalating tensions between Israel, Iran
18 April 2024 - 16:49
India kicks out Türkiye from Navy’s shipping project
18 April 2024 - 16:34
Azerbaijani ambassador: Armenia uses fake information as evidence in public court hearings
18 April 2024 - 16:19
Azerbaijani police officers find weapons, ammunition in Zangilan
PHOTO18 April 2024 - 16:04
Azerbaijani, New Caledonian parliaments sign memorandum of cooperation
18 April 2024 - 15:49
MFA: Russia exerts many efforts to resolve Azerbaijan-Armenia relations
18 April 2024 - 15:34
A blow-by-blow fact
Russian peacekeepers' mission accomplished18 April 2024 - 15:12
Azerbaijani energy minister invited to US for UN General Assembly discussions
18 April 2024 - 15:03
Baku Initiative Group facilitates Azerbaijan-New Caledonia cooperation
Congress chair applauds efforts18 April 2024 - 14:49
Azerbaijan to take steps to deal with Armenian vandalism at Khudavang Monastery
18 April 2024 - 14:35
"Green" ambitions: Azerbaijan's push for hydrogen production
Caliber.Az review18 April 2024 - 14:31
SpaceX launches 23 Starlink satellites from Florida
18 April 2024 - 14:21
Bashlibel tragedy survivors manage to break out of Armenian army siege only after 113 days
18 April 2024 - 14:16
Caliber.Az investigation raises dissatisfaction of US State Department
Facts are stubborn things18 April 2024 - 14:12
German police arrest two suspected of spying for Russia
18 April 2024 - 14:06
Azerbaijan, EBRD assess projects within upcoming COP29 event
18 April 2024 - 13:51