"Peace agreement with Baku to be swiftly signed If reason prevails in Yerevan"
Caliber.Az interview with Russian expert
INTERVIEWS 06 September 2022 - 15:08
Huseyn Safarov Caliber.Az |
On August 31, Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev and Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan held a private meeting in Brussels, mediated by President of the Council of the European Union Charles Michel. The talks lasted for more than three hours behind closed doors. The European Council President said after the meeting that the exchange of views had been open and productive. The sides discussed the whole range of agenda issues, adding that the next meeting in this format will take place before the end of November. At the same time, an agreement was reached to form groups through the Foreign Ministry to start working on the text of the peace agreement within a month.
On his return to Armenia Pashinyan also confirmed in a meeting with members of the pro-government faction in the National Assembly that a peace agreement between the sides should be signed before the end of the year.
However, despite this in recent days Armenian Armed Forces units in the Armenian-Azerbaijani border area have been intensively shelling positions of the Azerbaijani Army. Obviously, this state of affairs does not bode well for Armenia and is inconsistent with the spirit of the agreements reached.
What caused the provocations of the Armenian Armed Forces? Does this mean that official Yerevan is going to delay the signing of the peace agreement? Caliber.Az asked the Russian expert on Eurasia Alexander Razuvaev to answer these and other questions.
Our interlocutor pointed out that the balance of forces in the region has not fundamentally changed over the past year and nine months.
"However, in economic and political issues Azerbaijan has become even stronger. Among other things, oil and gas prices have risen, and military-technical cooperation with Türkiye has intensified. At the same time, very important documents were also signed with Moscow. Meanwhile, Armenia's position has not changed - it suffers greatly from the fact that trade routes in the South Caucasus are blocked," the expert said.
Nevertheless, Razuvaev believes that Armenia will drag out the signing of the peace agreement as long as possible.
"A drowning man always grasps at a straw. We need to understand that the Russian peacekeeping contingent temporarily deployed on the territories of Azerbaijan has fulfilled its mission. Karabakh is not Transnistria or South Ossetia, so it is unlikely that Russian peacekeepers will stay in Karabakh beyond the deadline. However, it would be logical to withdraw Russian troops from Karabakh right now.
All that is required from Azerbaijan now is patience. Once the Russian peacekeepers leave, Azerbaijan will be able to restore by force its territorial integrity, which is recognized by all countries, including Russia. But there is a very important point. If this issue is dragged out, Armenia, and its economy, suffer first and foremost, because it is not the richest republic. Therefore, if reason prevails in Yerevan, a peace agreement will be signed sooner. One way or another, a peace agreement will be signed, it is inevitable. The military ratio is unequivocally in favour of Azerbaijan. The 44-day war has also shown that. In other words, it's a matter of time," Razuvaev concluded.
Caliber.Az
1
|
Iran re-evaluating its ties with Azerbaijan, Armenia Baku - more important, honest partner than Yerevan
25 April 2024 - 12:00
|
2
|
Armenia returns four villages to Azerbaijan, paving the way for peace in the South Caucasus Landmark accord
23 April 2024 - 09:14
|
3
|
Mark Rutte seeks Türkiye's backing for new job A new pair of hands
24 April 2024 - 16:55
|
4
|
"Peoples of South Caucasus should resolve their differences independently" Foreign analysts on Caliber.Az
24 April 2024 - 17:40
|
5
|
Armenian PM's Moscow visit sparks speculation on bilateral relations Dilemma between East, West
23 April 2024 - 11:19
|
One international destination everyone wants to go to this summer
25 April 2024 - 23:00
Azerbaijani leader's plane makes its maiden voyage from Fuzuli to Berlin
25 April 2024 - 20:59
Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan forge closer ties during high-level meetings
PHOTO/VIDEO25 April 2024 - 20:53
Russia’s Putin to visit China
25 April 2024 - 20:45
Azerbaijani tourism agency granted membership in Global Sustainable Tourism Council
25 April 2024 - 20:37
Azerbaijani parliament condemns EP's biased resolution on human rights
25 April 2024 - 20:25
Putin calls on large businesses to traditionally take part in SPIEF 2024
25 April 2024 - 20:19
Iranian defense minister heads to Astana for SCO defense ministers' meeting
25 April 2024 - 19:59
Türkiye neutralises over 800 terrorists since early 2024
VIDEO25 April 2024 - 19:43
European Parliament urges member states not to consider Russian elections legitimate
25 April 2024 - 19:24
How Iran covers up damage from Israel’s strikes?
PHOTO25 April 2024 - 19:05
Palestinians retrieve 392 bodies from 3 mass graves in Gaza’s Khan Younis
25 April 2024 - 18:46
Iran to launch missiles anywhere in Israel if necessary, general warns
25 April 2024 - 18:27
Twenty border markers installed between Azerbaijan & Armenia
Delimitation progress25 April 2024 - 18:18
Dozens detained at protests in Armenia
25 April 2024 - 18:08
Azerbaijan, Uzbekistan expanding cooperation in space industry
25 April 2024 - 17:49
Controversial Nobel Peace Prize nominee Vardanyan faces int’l scrutiny & opposition
A closer look at actions contrary to peace & humanitarian efforts25 April 2024 - 17:31
Iran builds up military power by showing off advanced Bavar-373 air defence system
PHOTO25 April 2024 - 17:15
Presidents of Azerbaijan, Kyrgyzstan visit Fuzuli, Aghdam cities
PHOTO25 April 2024 - 17:05
Lukashenko blames opposition and NATO: They want to take a district in Brest region by force
25 April 2024 - 17:00
Top Israeli, Egyptian officials secretly meet to discuss possible Rafah invasion
25 April 2024 - 16:41
Energy leading to peace
Proceeding from Azerbaijani President’s speech in ADA25 April 2024 - 16:22
“It would be a big mistake if Armenia used the support gained from the EU against Azerbaijan”
Amashov’s impromptu interview with Ambassador Sharp25 April 2024 - 16:16
Armenian Parliament speaker says legitimate border crucial for peace with Azerbaijan
25 April 2024 - 16:07
New mass grave discovered in Khojaly
Investigation underway / PHOTO25 April 2024 - 15:51
Port of Baku: the Eurasian trade hub working to expand and accelerate growth
Article by Euronews / VIDEO25 April 2024 - 15:39
Hybrid warfare being waged against Armenia, official says
25 April 2024 - 15:24
Azerbaijani police discover cache of weapons in Khankendi, linked to Armenian forces
25 April 2024 - 14:58
Zakharova slams Armenian media for distorting Russian leadership’s statements on Baku-Yerevan ties
25 April 2024 - 14:44
Baku, Budapest cement economic ties, sign protocol
25 April 2024 - 14:27
Yerevan ready to discuss gas purchase with Baku – Armenian Speaker
UPDATED25 April 2024 - 14:15
Azerbaijan set to take bold steps vis-à-vis climate change - minister
25 April 2024 - 14:09
Official: Hamas would lay down its weapons if two-state solution implemented
25 April 2024 - 13:54
Türkiye captures nearly 3,000 Islamic State suspects in 10 months
VIDEO25 April 2024 - 13:40
Blinken tours China to promote some ties
25 April 2024 - 13:26
Azerbaijani presidential aide showcases Fuzuli's rebirth in stirring social media video
25 April 2024 - 13:15
Media: China harbours ship tied to North Korea-Russia arms transfers
25 April 2024 - 13:11
Western Azerbaijan Community condemns US human rights report as discriminatory
25 April 2024 - 12:58
Israeli Air Force strikes dozens of targets in Gaza
VIDEO25 April 2024 - 12:43
Hungary prepares to participate in Karabakh's reconstruction
25 April 2024 - 12:29