ISW: Russia may face "imminent defeat" near Lyman

    WORLD  29 September 2022 - 11:16

    Russian military leadership has likely failed to set information conditions for the potential defeat of the Russian grouping in Lyman, despite increasingly concerned discourse among Russian military bloggers regarding the potential for a Ukrainian envelopment of Lyman.

    According to the US-based Institute for the Study of War (ISW), Russian military bloggers discussed Ukrainian gains around Lyman with increased concern on September 28, suggesting that Russian forces in this area may face imminent defeat. They claimed that Ukrainian troops advanced west, north, and northeast of Lyman and are working to complete the envelopment of Russian troops in Lyman and along the northern bank of the Siverskyi Donets River in this area. Ukrainian troops are threatening Russian positions and lines of communication that support the Lyman grouping.

    The collapse of the Lyman pocket will likely be highly consequential to the Russian grouping in northern Donetsk and western Luhansk oblasts and may allow Ukrainian troops to threaten Russian positions along the western Luhansk Oblast border and in the Severodonetsk-Lysychansk area.

    The Kremlin could temporarily postpone announcing the annexation of Russian-occupied Ukrainian territory to better prepare the Russian information space and administrative organization, although September 30 remains the most likely date for some kind of annexation announcement, the report said.

    The ISW added that Russian-appointed occupation administration leaders of Kherson, Zaporizhia, Donetsk, and Luhansk Oblasts each shared an appeal to Russian President Vladimir Putin by September 28, asking Putin to recognize their sham referenda and welcome them to Russia.

    Key Takeaways:

    - The Kremlin could temporarily postpone announcing the annexation of Russian-occupied Ukrainian territory to better prepare the Russian information space and administrative organization, although September 30 remains the most likely date for some kind of annexation announcement.
    - Russian authorities continue to send newly-mobilized and undertrained recruits to directly reinforce severely degraded remnants of various units, including units that were previously considered to be Russia’s premier conventional fighting forces.
    - Ukrainian forces likely continued to make significant gains around Lyman on September 28, advancing from the north along the Zelena Dolyna-Kolodiazi arc and from the southeast around Yampil.
    - Ukrainian military officials largely maintained operational silence regarding specific Ukrainian actions in Kherson Oblast on September 28 but stated that Ukrainian troops are continuing positional battles in unspecified locations to consolidate and improve their positions along the Southern Axis.
    - Russian forces continued unsuccessful ground attacks in Donetsk Oblast.
    - Russian military recruitment officials are openly contradicting the Kremlin’s publicly-stated guidelines for mobilization to meet quota requirements even as Kremlin propaganda is attempting to change the public perception of partial mobilization.
    - Russian authorities are beginning to restrict the movement of Russian citizens into Russian border regions to cope with hundreds of thousands of Russian men attempting to flee the country.

    Caliber.Az




Read also

Ukraine purchases electricity from Romania in test mode

28 November 2022 - 21:11

UK provides Brimstone 2 precision-guided missiles to Ukraine

28 November 2022 - 17:37

Italy to completely replace Russian gas by 2025

28 November 2022 - 17:45

Cameroon fight back to draw World Cup thriller with Serbia PHOTO

28 November 2022 - 17:04

Over 80 injured as Indian police clash with Adani port protesters

28 November 2022 - 17:07

OSCE FM's will gather in Poland without Russia in attendance

28 November 2022 - 17:51
ADVERTS
Latest news

    Frustrations simmer as Saudis blocked from watching World Cup

    29 November 2022 - 04:38

    Türkiye among 4 countries producing Diver Detection Sonar

    PHOTO

    29 November 2022 - 04:06

    What octopus, human brains have in common

    29 November 2022 - 03:34

    Tesla Semi completes first 500-mile trip with a full load

    29 November 2022 - 03:01

    What travel warnings do other nations give their citizens about US violence?

    29 November 2022 - 02:32

    Dua Lipa granted citizenship in Albania for making nation famous through her music

    29 November 2022 - 02:04

    Did nationalism doom the ISS?

    Its demise is signaling a new era of space competition

    29 November 2022 - 01:35

    Kamikaze UAV to enter Turkish inventory in 2023

    VIDEO

    29 November 2022 - 01:03

    Musk-backed lobbyists fight to save Europe from bad AI

    29 November 2022 - 00:32

    FMs to discuss Azerbaijani, Turkish, Turkmen leaders' meeting in Ankara

    29 November 2022 - 00:01

    Nearly quarter of major Japanese firms to raise prices in 2023

    28 November 2022 - 23:31

    India's first private rocket company looks to slash satellite costs

    28 November 2022 - 23:02

    Sunak to set out ‘evolutionary’ approach to dealing with Russia, China

    28 November 2022 - 22:34

    Pro-Israel group that honored Trump blasts his meeting with Ye, Fuentes

    28 November 2022 - 22:01

    As China hits record 40,052 daily cases, can zero-Covid continue?

    28 November 2022 - 21:33

    Lawyer: Doctors reveal poisonous substance in Georgian ex-president's blood

    28 November 2022 - 21:19

    Ukraine purchases electricity from Romania in test mode

    28 November 2022 - 21:11

    Media: Turkish army ready for ground operation in Syria

    28 November 2022 - 21:00

    Azerbaijani Foreign Ministry: Remains of 146 servicemen returned to Armenia

    28 November 2022 - 20:54

    Azerbaijan, US discuss normalisation of ties with Armenia

    28 November 2022 - 20:51

    Azerbaijan, Georgia eye gas transportation, storage infrastructure expansion

    PHOTO

    28 November 2022 - 20:42

    Azerbaijani, Turkish FMs discuss summit preparation

    28 November 2022 - 20:29

    Ghana edge out South Korea 3-2 in thrilling game

    28 November 2022 - 20:20

    Yerevan ready to organise Azerbaijani, French, European Council, Armenian leaders' meeting

    28 November 2022 - 20:16

    Shah Daniz gas contributes to regional, European energy security

    28 November 2022 - 20:06

    Armenian militant Monte Melkonian collaborated with Iran

    ASALA militant’s confession

    28 November 2022 - 19:58

    Azerbaijani deputy defence chief off to US

    28 November 2022 - 19:44

    FM: Armenia gets Azerbaijan's response to peace treaty proposals

    28 November 2022 - 19:32

    Baku hands over bodies of 13 Armenian servicemen to Yerevan

    28 November 2022 - 19:23

    Azerbaijanis protest in front of French national assembly building

    PHOTO/VIDEO

    28 November 2022 - 19:11

    Armenia eyes to launch two more satellites into space by 2028

    28 November 2022 - 19:00

    Azerbaijan informes EU about Armenia's military usage of Lachin road

    28 November 2022 - 18:53

    Minister: Türkiye finds oil almost at water level

    28 November 2022 - 18:46

    Azerbaijan expanding cooperation with WHO

    28 November 2022 - 18:37

    Earnings of Azerbaijan's finance ministry from oil fund published

    28 November 2022 - 18:30

    Azerbaijani liberated lands’ renewable energy potential disclosed

    28 November 2022 - 18:15

    Chinese revolt, or first peals of thunder?

    Mikhail Shereshevskiy's analysis

    28 November 2022 - 18:13

    Russian MFA summons Norwegian envoy over citizens' arrest

    28 November 2022 - 18:00

    OSCE FM's will gather in Poland without Russia in attendance

    28 November 2022 - 17:51

    Italy to completely replace Russian gas by 2025

    28 November 2022 - 17:45

    UK provides Brimstone 2 precision-guided missiles to Ukraine

    28 November 2022 - 17:37

    Armenia holds meeting to discuss measures for army’s preparation for winter

    28 November 2022 - 17:21

    OIC countries’ share in Azerbaijan's foreign trade exceeds 16% - official

    28 November 2022 - 17:14

    Over 80 injured as Indian police clash with Adani port protesters

    28 November 2022 - 17:07

    Cameroon fight back to draw World Cup thriller with Serbia

    PHOTO

    28 November 2022 - 17:04

All news