US officials warn Iran ready to strike American bases if war expands NYT report

According to the latest report by The New York Times, American intelligence indicates that Iran has prepared missiles and military equipment to target U.S. bases in the Middle East if the United States joins Israel’s conflict with Tehran. In response, the U.S. has deployed around three dozen refuelling aircraft to Europe, enhancing the operational reach of fighter jets and bombers that could be involved in strikes against Iranian nuclear facilities.

Officials warn that Israeli calls for U.S. intervention raise fears of a broader war. An American strike on Iran’s Fordo nuclear site could prompt Iran-backed Houthi forces to renew attacks on shipping in the Red Sea, while militias in Iraq and Syria might target U.S. military installations. There is also concern that Iran could mine the strategic Strait of Hormuz to trap U.S. naval vessels.

U.S. forces in the region, numbering over 40,000 across bases in the UAE, Jordan, and Saudi Arabia, have been placed on high alert. Iranian officials have openly stated they would retaliate against U.S. bases, particularly in Iraq, and any American forces in Arab countries involved in attacks on Iran.

Iran’s Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi emphasised that military actions will not force Iran to submit and blamed Israel and its allies for any escalation. U.S. intelligence assesses Iran can quickly strike bases in Bahrain, Qatar, and the UAE.

The conflict’s escalation has intensified as Israel continues its offensive and Iran launches missile barrages against Israel. While the exact impact of a strike on Fordo remains uncertain—since Iran’s enriched uranium is stored in multiple underground sites—U.S. officials say Israeli forces would require American support, likely through air cover or B-2 stealth bombers equipped with bunker-busting weapons, to significantly damage Iran’s nuclear program.

Past Iranian-backed attacks on U.S. forces — including a deadly 2024 drone strike in Jordan — highlight the risks of escalation. U.S. agencies estimate Iran is close to nuclear weapons capability but has yet to decide whether to proceed. President Trump has vowed to prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear arms and called for its unconditional surrender.

However, some U.S. officials believe Israeli strikes have pushed Iran closer to pursuing a nuclear deterrent. This possibility is increasing pressure on Washington to consider military action. Critics caution, however, that U.S. involvement risks deepening the conflict uncontrollably. Rosemary Kelanic of Defence Priorities warned that once the U.S. enters the war, retreat becomes difficult, and the incentive for Iran to develop nuclear weapons would multiply dramatically.

By Tamilla Hasanova