"Possible Armenia-Azerbaijan hostilities will further deplete Russian resources"
    Caliber.Az talks to German expert Sebastian Schäffer

    INTERVIEWS  07 April 2023 - 15:38

    Huseyn Safarov

    After the collapse of the Soviet Union, Russia and the West had a difficult path - from curtsey to slaps in the face. At the very beginning of the collapse of the Soviet Union, after the end of the Cold War battles, they had a real chance to become partners, if not allies, but relations have never developed. Initially almost enthusiastic about Western principles, Russia rejected them by the end of Yeltsin's reign and resolutely refused to play by the rules proposed to it. Eventually, even remnants of mutual sympathy began to fade, and Russia stepped up accusing the West of exporting color revolutions to the post-Soviet space in order to completely enslave it. The US and Europe lashed out at Russia, claiming it was trampling on human rights in a most uncivilized manner.

    Thus, the Cold War between the West and Russia (formerly, with the USSR) has not faded into oblivion - after a lull, it has flared up with renewed vigour. And today it is difficult to understand what the essence of the conflict is: if previously it could be explained by the confrontation between two ideological systems - communism and capitalism - today these two concepts, on the one hand, are closely intertwined, while on the other - they have fundamentally changed. And Ukraine, of course, is not the cause, but rather a reason for today's not a cold war, but a very hot one. Some politicians and political analysts explain it by the fact that the conflict is purely geopolitical - all states of the former Warsaw Pact have fallen under the influence of NATO.

    Is this really the case? If yes, is the current harsh confrontation between Russia and the West also reflected in the Armenian-Azerbaijani track?

    Caliber.Az asked Sebastian Schäffer, a German political scientist and Director of the Institute for the Danube Region and Central Europe (IDM), to answer these and other questions.

    According to Schäffer, it is still the West that, albeit indirectly, contributes to all kinds of conflict situations in the post-Soviet space.

    "Western foundations suggest an alternative, democratic and prosperous future, and this, as we know, contradicts Russian interests and causes interventions, hybrid wars up to full-scale invasions. If we take the war in Ukraine as an example, Russian politicians claim that the West allegedly does not want to stop the fighting because it pursues its own geopolitical interests. In particular, it is trying to eliminate such a powerful competitor on the world stage as the Russian Federation. In reality, Moscow is simply trying to justify itself for the unleashed bloodshed. Unfortunately, the rhetoric of the Russian military and political leadership is far from reality and all such statements are aimed at the internal audience.

    The Kremlin has been trying to justify this from the very beginning of the invasion of Ukraine. It is typical of Moscow to blame everyone else and resort to the role of a victim," the German expert said.

    In fact, he believes that no one but Moscow is responsible for the war, and it will end only if the Russian Federation stops attacking Ukraine and retreats from its territory.

    As for the question about the Armenian-Azerbaijani settlement in the context of the confrontation between the West and Russia, Schäffer
    finds it tough to give an unequivocal answer.

    "It is difficult to understand who is more interested in resolving the conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan - the West or Russia. However, I would suggest that another conflict in the South Caucasus region is more in the interest of Russian President Putin than the West. On the other hand, possible hostilities between Armenia and Azerbaijan involving Russia could further deplete Moscow's resources. Such a scenario is in the interests of the Western coalition," Schäffer concluded.



    Subscribe to our Telegram channel

Read also

“External forces to interfere in Garabagh Armenians' reintegration into Azerbaijan” Expert opinions on Caliber.Az

23 September 2023 - 13:12

“Baku shows Central Asia how unsolvable issues can be resolved” Razuvayev and Akhmetov on Caliber.Az

22 September 2023 - 15:29

“There is no reason to suspect that Armenians won’t be able to live peacefully in Azerbaijan” Luke Coffey on Caliber.Az

21 September 2023 - 17:30

Baku's triumph over separatism and swift passportisation of Garabagh Armenians Experts share their opinions with Caliber.Az

21 September 2023 - 15:20

"Armenia will not go to war with Azerbaijan as it does not want a second capitulation" Russian expert Korotchenko shares his opinon on situation in Garabagh

20 September 2023 - 10:27

US and Germany continue hypocrisy by demonstrating biased attitude towards Azerbaijan Diplomat Fikrat Sadykhov talks to Caliber.Az

20 September 2023 - 00:19
Latest news

    Maryland, Virginia governors declare state of emergency as Tropical Storm Ophelia approaches

    24 September 2023 - 05:03

    Zelenskyy visit shows McCarthy walks ‘thin line’ on Ukraine aid

    24 September 2023 - 04:03

    Political class betrays Brexit by turning Britain into European country

    24 September 2023 - 03:05

    EU negotiator says trade relations with China ‘very imbalanced’

    24 September 2023 - 02:04

    Germany’s Baerbock joins chorus criticizing EU migration deal with Tunisia

    24 September 2023 - 01:03

    South Korea, US, Japan to take tough measures against Russia-North Korea arms deal

    24 September 2023 - 00:03

    The Economist: What Asia’s economic revolution means for the world

    23 September 2023 - 23:04

    NASA's first asteroid sample on track for parachute landing in Utah

    23 September 2023 - 22:00

    Ex-Wagner commander arrested in Norway for attempting return to Russia

    23 September 2023 - 21:03

    Germany, France eye new partners for next-gen tank in 2024

    23 September 2023 - 20:01

    Bob Menendez had built reputation as Senate’s most unethical

    Opinion by Thomas Anderson

    23 September 2023 - 19:00

    Azerbaijan sends 24 tonnes of petrol and 40 tonnes of diesel fuel to Garabagh Armenians

    23 September 2023 - 18:17

    President Ilham Aliyev receives European Union Special Representative for South Caucasus

    23 September 2023 - 18:05

    PM: Azerbaijan's strategic foreign exchange reserves hit $67 billion

    23 September 2023 - 18:00

    World Championship: Azerbaijani wrestler reaches semifinal

    23 September 2023 - 17:49

    South Africa plans to open consulate in Azerbaijan

    23 September 2023 - 17:38

    Armenian-left ammunition depot discovered in Kalbajar

    23 September 2023 - 17:24

    Azerbaijan's Azykh and Taglar caves inscribed on UNESCO World Heritage List

    23 September 2023 - 17:18

    Russia does not directly attack Romania, president says

    23 September 2023 - 17:07

    US approves $500 million sale for Saudi Arabia’s combat vehicle upkeep

    23 September 2023 - 16:55

    Russia still 'occupies 20% of our territory': Georgian PM

    23 September 2023 - 16:43

    Taiwan moves closer to acquiring 160 Turkish-made Jackal drones


    23 September 2023 - 16:32

    FM: Once Garabagh Armenians get rid of criminal junta regime, wide opportunities will open up for them

    23 September 2023 - 16:29

    Azerbaijan sends fuel to Khankendi


    23 September 2023 - 16:24

    President Ilham Aliyev offers condolences to President of Italy

    23 September 2023 - 16:21

    OTG Secretary General: Garabagh is Azerbaijani land, part of Turkic world

    23 September 2023 - 16:12

    Russian-Hungarian cooperation in space technology will continue - FM

    23 September 2023 - 16:01

    Biden aides in talks with Vietnam for arms deal that could irk China

    23 September 2023 - 15:50

    Artur Aghajanov: Future of Garabagh is connected with Azerbaijan

    23 September 2023 - 15:39

    Armenian daily: Pashinyan ordered crackdown on protests

    23 September 2023 - 15:28

    Information campaign on Armenian mine terror held in London and Manchester


    23 September 2023 - 15:18

    Quake jolts Türkiye

    23 September 2023 - 15:17

    Cash, gold and a luxury car

    The eye-popping allegations against Bob Menendez

    23 September 2023 - 15:05

    Azerbaijan expects Armenians to fully honour obligations – roving ambassador

    23 September 2023 - 14:53

    Armenian tank shot down in Shusha by Albert Agharunov delivered to Baku


    23 September 2023 - 14:41

    Netanyahu says Israel is getting closer to "quantum leap" normalisation deal with Saudi Arabia

    23 September 2023 - 14:30

    Pakistani PM: Adding more permanent members to UNSC to undermine its authority

    23 September 2023 - 14:19

    Ukrainian forces have broken through in Verbove, top general says

    23 September 2023 - 14:08

    Romanian PM to visit Kyiv to finalise agreement about grain

    23 September 2023 - 13:57

    Azerbaijani activist informs UN about Armenia's environmental terrorism


    23 September 2023 - 13:46

All news