Diplomatic shifts, leadership changes shape Quad’s direction

An article by The Economist notes that the Quad, a coalition of the US, Australia, India, and Japan, was originally set to meet in Delhi this year. However, the piece notes, the plans changed dramatically following allegations of an assassination attempt against a US activist of Sikh heritage, supposedly orchestrated by Indian intelligence. As a result, President Joe Biden opted to host the Quad leaders in Delaware instead of attending the summit in India.

The article highlights the evolving nature of the Quad and raises important questions about its future direction amidst changing political landscapes and regional tensions. The decision to shift the summit location from India to Delaware underscores the complexities of international relations influenced by domestic politics and diplomatic incidents.

The Quad's transition from a defence-focused entity to one that also addresses humanitarian and public health issues reflects a strategic pivot aimed at broadening its appeal. However, critics argue this shift may dilute its effectiveness in countering China’s aggressive posturing in the Indo-Pacific. The reluctance to name China explicitly in their statements suggests a cautious approach to diplomacy, potentially undermining the Quad's resolve and purpose.

As leadership changes occur in member countries, the Quad's future effectiveness may hinge on how well the new leaders align on strategic priorities.

Only India's Prime Minister Modi, recently re-elected, is assured to remain in his position. The new leadership dynamics will require a reevaluation of the Quad's objectives and strategies during India's turn to host the coalition next year.

The upcoming summit in India will be crucial for defining the Quad's trajectory and determining whether it can reclaim its original focus or continue down a path of diluted ambitions.