The Economist: Israel readies for potential ground assault on Hizbullah

Military sources indicate that Israel is preparing for a ground offensive aimed at establishing a buffer zone just north of the border. 

The Israel Defence Forces (IDF) have announced the deployment of a second division, previously stationed in Gaza, to the north in readiness for this potential operation, Caliber.Az reports via The Economist.

Despite escalating hostilities, the situation between Israel and Hezbollah has not yet reached the point of all-out war. Both sides have yet to unleash their full military capabilities. For Hezbollah, this would entail launching larger salvoes, including long-range missiles targeting critical civilian and military locations in central Israel, as well as conducting multiple ground incursions into Israeli territory.

In response, Israel's strategy could involve a broader bombing campaign aimed at Hezbollah's missile network, including launch sites situated in civilian areas. As a last resort, Israel may consider targeting civilian infrastructure to turn the Lebanese population against Hezbollah, a group that many Lebanese already resent for its ongoing conflict with Israel.

However, during a recent visit to the border, an immediate invasion did not appear imminent. Combat units were conducting training over the Sabbath at bases in the north, but had yet to gather in staging areas near the border. “The plans for a ground invasion are ready,” stated one reserve officer involved in the preparations. “But we’re still a way off from having the sufficient forces here to carry them out.”

The timing of Israel's latest military steps reveals divisions within its upper military and political ranks. Some officials advocate for a quicker escalation, arguing that Israel should capitalise on the current disarray within Hezbollah to degrade a larger portion of its military capabilities and secure territory. Conversely, more cautious generals, including Defence Minister Yoav Gallant, prefer the ongoing, measured approach, hoping it will encourage Hezbollah to reconsider its stance and withdraw.

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has assured residents of northern Israel that their safety is a priority. “Our goals are clear, and our actions speak for themselves,” he insists, as the situation remains tense on the border.

By Khagan Isayev