US response to China's influence in Pacific

The article from The Diplomat underscores the evolving concept of strategic denial in the context of U.S.-China competition in the Pacific, particularly regarding the Freely Associated States (FAS): Palau, the Marshall Islands, and the Federated States of Micronesia (FSM).

It argues that the traditional notion of strategic denial, which primarily focused on preventing military access to these regions by third countries, is no longer sufficient in addressing the multifaceted challenges posed by China's rising influence.

The article begins by highlighting the critical role of the FAS in U.S. national security strategy, emphasizing that these territories grant the U.S. exclusive defense rights and responsibilities in exchange for financial aid. However, the authors contend that the interpretation of strategic denial has evolved over time, becoming more narrow and inadequate in light of contemporary geopolitical dynamics. Unlike in the past, where the threat came from militarized occupations, the current challenge from China manifests through political influence and subterfuge rather than direct military installations.

Historical context is essential to understanding the article's argument. The authors reference the U.S. military’s experiences during World War II, particularly the necessity of island-hopping campaigns to counter Japanese aggression. The original strategic denial doctrine was formulated to prevent foreign military establishments in the Pacific. However, the article argues that this doctrine needs to be redefined to address the current complexities of China’s influence, which often operates through clandestine means rather than overt military threats.

The article further emphasizes the implications of Chinese presence in the FAS, particularly regarding espionage and economic exploitation, citing alarming examples such as visa loopholes that allow Chinese nationals to enter U.S. territories undetected. This situation poses risks not only to U.S. military sites but also to the sovereignty and economic stability of the FAS themselves.

To counter these threats, the authors propose a holistic reimagining of strategic denial that encompasses a broad range of responsibilities. This includes combating corruption, countering illegal fishing practices, enhancing maritime law enforcement, and promoting good governance in the FAS. The emphasis is on collaboration with the FAS to ensure that their interests align with U.S. strategic goals while fostering a free and open Indo-Pacific.

In conclusion, the article presents a compelling case for rethinking strategic denial in the Pacific. By advocating for a more comprehensive approach to countering Chinese influence, the authors stress the importance of evolving U.S. strategies to ensure the security and sovereignty of the FAS in a rapidly changing geopolitical landscape.

By Vugar Khalilov