Dubai crude spot premium plunges over 50% amid oversupply

The spot premium for Dubai crude has slumped by more than half ‌to hit its lowest level in three weeks after more sellers emerged and piled on offers while TotalEnergies remained the sole bidder, according to traders and data collated by Reuters.

The premium for the Middle East benchmark that prices millions ​of barrels of crude imported by Asia dropped sharply to about $17 a barrel at the market ​close on Thursday, down more than 60% from $51.20 a barrel against Dubai swaps in the ⁠previous session, underscoring severe price volatility due to the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran which has disrupted shipping ​in the Strait of Hormuz.

Sellers such as Unipec, Vitol, Shell (SHEL.L), opens new tab and BP (BP.L), opens new tab started offering Dubai an hour before ​the trading window opened on Thursday, three of the people said.

"They had more than an hour to keep offering (Dubai) down," one of them said.

"Totsa came up but it wasn't even trying to aggressively counter them."

S&P Global Platts' Market on Close ​process - known as the window - runs from 4:00 pm to 4:30 pm Singapore time (0800-0830 GMT) on weekdays, ​during which traders submit bids and offers that feed directly into daily price assessments.

A second trader said the tight ‌timing and ⁠price increment rules make it hard for sellers to respond swiftly to an aggressive early bid. Under Platts' methodology, prices can move by a maximum of 5 cents a barrel every five seconds.

Platts did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

Totsa, the trading arm of French major TotalEnergies (TTEF.PA), opens new tab, has been the ​sole buyer of Middle East ​crude during the Platts ⁠window since the start of the month, snapping up a total of 69 Oman and Murban crude cargoes so far, or 34.5 million barrels, trade data ​showed.

The company could not be immediately reached for comment outside office hours. ​It had previously ⁠declined to comment on its Dubai trades.

Dubai's premium to swaps spiked to an all-time high of about $65 a barrel last week as the amount of crude available for trading fell after S&P Global Platts excluded three of the ⁠five crude ​grades in anticipation of a prolonged disruption in shipping via ​the Strait of Hormuz.

The price spike has caused Asian refiners to shun spot Middle East crude purchases and instead buy oil from ​Europe, Africa and the Americas.