How Germany’s leadership failure impacting EU?

The Economist’s article, “Germany’s failure to lead the EU is becoming a problem,” highlights a troubling shift in European politics.

Historically, Germany, particularly under Chancellor Angela Merkel, was a dominant force within the European Union (EU). Merkel’s leadership provided stability and direction amid crises, from the Eurozone’s financial turmoil to geopolitical tensions. However, the article argues that Germany's current inability to lead effectively is manifesting as a significant problem for the EU.

The core issue is the dysfunction within Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s coalition government. Scholz’s three-party coalition has been marked by internal discord and ineffective governance, contrasting sharply with Merkel’s previously admired competence. This dysfunction has begun to spill over into EU affairs, with Germany’s traditional role as a central pillar in European decision-making now in question. Scholz’s lack of diplomatic finesse, compared to Merkel’s adept dealmaking, has exacerbated this situation. At EU summits, Scholz’s statements are met with confusion rather than consensus, reflecting a broader decline in Germany's influence.

The article acknowledges that Germany has made some significant strides under Scholz’s leadership, such as the Zeitenwende—a strategic shift in Germany’s foreign and security policies in response to Russia's invasion of Ukraine. This shift includes military upgrades and a reorientation of energy policy. Despite these efforts, Germany's European partners remain disappointed, primarily due to the perceived gap between Scholz’s promises and actionable leadership.

One crucial area where German leadership is faltering is the enlargement of the EU. Scholz has identified this as a priority, aiming to integrate Ukraine and other nations into the Union. However, achieving this goal requires navigating complex bureaucratic and political hurdles, which Germany has struggled with. Additionally, the EU needs reforms to accommodate new members, such as revising its agricultural policies and reducing national veto rights. Germany's capacity to drive these reforms is vital, yet its current political instability undermines its effectiveness.

The article also points to the role of Ursula von der Leyen, President of the European Commission, as a potential ally in advancing EU goals. Von der Leyen, a former German cabinet minister, has shown political acumen, which could benefit Germany’s EU leadership. However, her influence may not be enough to compensate for the broader challenges Germany faces.

Looking ahead, the article warns that Germany’s political instability and poor performance in recent European elections could lead to further disengagement from EU affairs. With national elections approaching in 2025, the ruling parties may prioritize domestic issues over European leadership. This shift could exacerbate existing geopolitical risks and economic stagnation in Europe.

In conclusion, the article from The Economist emphasizes that Germany’s current leadership crisis is not just an internal issue but a significant problem for the entire EU. For Europe to address pressing challenges effectively, Germany must overcome its internal discord and regain its role as a proactive leader on the continent.