Blogger: Armenian PM to win in case of snap elections

A press conference was held by full member of the “Gallup International Association” Aram Navasardyan in Armenia on April 3.

During the press conference, Navasardyan spoke about the results of the survey, which was conducted on March 27-29, Caliber.Az reports citing the Armenian media.

This survey was related to the demarcation of the border and the assessment of the activity of the Armenian prime minister. The surveys were conducted by phone; the number of respondents was 1,100 people.

According to the survey, the overwhelming majority of respondents assessed Pashinyan’s activity negatively. Blogger Vahe Aghajanyan reacted to this process.

“I have read the results published by Gallup. Gallup overstated the situation on a number of issues.

Pashinyan’s rating should not be measured in per cent. This will not give anything because the rating in per cent is necessary when you have a list with a specific number of candidates, but we do not have such a list.

In the current situation, the task of sociologists should be to estimate which candidate has many real voters at the moment.

So, according to the fairly reliable data, about 350,000 people are ready to vote for Pashinyan (Pashinyan received 680,000 votes in the 2021 elections).

About 100,000-150,000 votes (this figure is growing very fast) account for the so-called pro-Western forces. The votes of the current opposition in the National Assembly also fluctuate between 100,000-150,000 (this figure tends to decrease). About 50,000-60,000 people are ready to vote for Vardan Ghukasyan (this figure also has a slow but growing trend). Most of those who have the right to vote do not want to participate in the electoral process because they do not see a worthy candidate.

It is very important to note that these figures reflect the current political situation, but the situation is fragile. If a strong opposition player appears, he not only will be supported by those who do not want to go to the polls, but will also be able to receive many votes from Pashinyan’s electorate and the current opposition of the National Assembly.

Thus, if snap elections are held, Pashinyan will continue serving as prime minister, but only in a coalition with pro-Western forces. If the matter rests in entering the electoral process, then a radical event will occur on the domestic political field, a new force that will completely change the situation in a short period of time will be created. Pashinyan is afraid of this scenario and is not afraid of either the current opposition or his satellites, because he knows the real figures,” the blogger wrote on his Facebook page.