NYT: Ukraine war deadlock may last six month

The war in Ukraine remains unpredictable, but the front line has stayed largely static.

Military analyst Franz-Stefan Gady said it is unlikely that either Ukrainian or Russian forces will achieve a breakthrough in the next six months, Caliber.Az reports via The New York Times.

Gady explained that Russian troops lack operational capabilities to advance, while Ukraine faces a shortage of manpower.

“The current trajectory is bad for Ukraine, but not catastrophic,” he stressed.

Meanwhile, Lieutenant General Alexander Sollfrank, Commander of Germany’s Joint Forces, told reporters that Russian President Vladimir Putin has no intention of ending the war against Ukraine, emphasising that he “must be stopped.”

“The stakes in Ukraine are fundamental if we want to keep our peace and our freedom, and we want to keep our political systems, our democracies, our pluralism, federal structures and everything that we have,” Sollfrank said.

The general warned that a postwar world would be endangered if Russia prevails and urged Germany and its allies to increase support for Ukraine to ensure a just peace.

While the front has largely frozen into a static line, the war continues to evolve in form and intensity.

Russian forces have shifted tactics away from large breakthroughs toward saturation strikes on infrastructure and logistics hubs, employing drones, glide bombs and long-range strikes to wear down Ukraine’s resilience, particularly heading into winter.

Ukraine, for its part, is resorting to innovation and asymmetric methods — such as ground robotic drones and long-range strikes — to compensate for manpower shortages and slow territorial gains, while also confronting falling levels of military aid from some Western partners.

By Jeyhun Aghazada