Polish poll shows Tusk camp may struggle to form government

A new opinion poll in Poland suggests that Prime Minister Donald Tusk’s political camp could struggle to form a government after the next parliamentary elections, even if it wins the vote.

The survey, conducted by Opinia24 for Gazeta Wyborcza and reported by RMF24, shows the Civic Coalition in first place with 31.6% support. However, the result may not be sufficient to secure a parliamentary majority.

The Law and Justice party ranks second with 21.6%, followed by the far-right Confederation at 12.3% and the Confederation of the Polish Crown at 8.2%. Support for left-wing parties stands at around 7%.

According to the poll, two of Tusk’s current coalition partners — the Polish People’s Party and Poland 2050 — would fail to cross the electoral threshold.

Seat projections indicate that a potential coalition between the Civic Coalition and left-wing forces would secure about 220 seats in the Sejm, falling short of the 231 required for a majority. By contrast, a possible alliance of opposition right-wing parties could win around 240 seats, giving them a numerical advantage in forming the next government.

By Tamilla Hasanova