Political analyst: Russia closely watching "profound" transformations in Armenia

Fyodor Lukyanov, Chairman of the Presidium of Russia's Council on Foreign and Defence Policy, stated that Russia is closely monitoring the "very profound" transformations occurring in Armenia, based on recent statements.

In an interview with Caliber.Az, Lukyanov noted that there is a growing discrepancy between Armenia's rhetoric and the reality of its actions regarding the state of relations between the two countries.

"Initially, the rhetoric from the Armenian side was very harsh, but later it became more denying and somewhat calmer," he explained.

He further referenced a recent statement by Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, who declared that Armenia had passed the "point of no return" in its relations with the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO), implying a shift away from Moscow’s influence.

"Well, that's clear," Lukyanov said, but he added that for a point of no return to be reached, Armenia would first need to formally withdraw from the CSTO before discussing the possibility of returning. He suggested that Armenia's position may be driven by political manoeuvres, stating, "There is some sort of political game going on here."

Despite the political rhetoric, Lukyanov emphasized the importance of Armenia's and Georgia’s continued engagement with Russia, especially in the context of Western sanctions and the evolving role of neighbouring countries.

"Both Armenia and Georgia greatly benefit from the model of relations with Russia," he remarked. "In this sphere, everything is fine, everything is developing, despite all the talk."

Lukyanov concluded that as long as political formalities do not hinder beneficial relations, both countries stand to gain.

"If political formalities do not interfere with what brings benefit to both countries, well, so be it! As the Russian people say, 'the tongue has no bones.'"

By Aghakazim Guliyev