Azerbaijani historian predicts Türkiye's fate as hegemonic state
Conversation with Yunus Oguz
POLITICS 18 May 2023 - 12:47
Huseyn Safarov Caliber.Az |
After incumbent Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and his main rival from the Republican People's Party (CHP) Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu failed to win an absolute majority in the presidential elections on May 14, a second round of voting was announced for May 28.
Expectations and preferences divide Türkiye, the world ahead of the runoff election. Nevertheless, a well-known Azerbaijani Turkologist, writer, historian, journalist, and political scientist Yunus Oguz in a conversation with Caliber.Az, expressed a strong belief that Erdogan will win in the second round and remain in the main office of the state for another term.
"I am confident that Recep Tayyip Erdogan will be elected president of Türkiye again. The Justice and Development Party (AKP) was again the main force in parliament. In the last parliamentary elections, the pro-presidential party coalition Popular Alliance won a majority of seats in parliament with 49.3 per cent, while the opposition National Alliance, led by the Republican People's Party (CHP), won 35 per cent. As a result, Erdogan's coalition will have a solid majority of 322 parliamentary seats out of 600. This means that even if Kılıçdaroğlu wins in the second round, he will face the problem of an opposition parliament in which pro-Erdogan forces hold a majority of seats, and it will be extremely difficult for him to implement constitutional changes and deliver on campaign promises. In theory, any decision by the newly elected president could be boycotted in parliament, which could lead to chaos in the truest sense of the word. Today, many believe that the right-wing Ata electoral alliance, whose candidate Sinan Ogan won around 5 per cent of the vote, should have the final say. However, I do not agree with this. Regardless of Ogan's decision, Erdogan will win the election," Oguz said.
The historian believes CHP leader Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu was confident of his victory, but the election showed that the centre-right wing in Türkiye is very strong.
"Kılıçdaroğlu said there was an inflation problem in the economy. He wanted to use this and throw Türkiye into the jaws of Europe. In fact, inflation exists in every country in the world. And the elections held in Türkiye showed that the Turkish people trust the state and the head of state and see that Türkiye is pursuing the right policy. People have felt safer in their country since Erdogan took office. The number of terrorist attacks has decreased significantly. Every citizen wants security from the state so they can live comfortably, freely, and confidently.
Other reasons for Erdogan's popularity are national, and territorial security, and economic growth. Türkiye's economic situation is now in the public eye. At the same time, the republic has military power. Today, Türkiye does not buy a certain amount of military equipment from abroad but produces it itself, because thanks to the current government the country's military industry has become one of the most advanced and developed in the world. The people understand this and that's why they voted for Erdogan," he said.
According to Oguz, Türkiye has done everything to become a hegemonic state in recent years.
"Erdogan, without waiting for the results of the election, said that the government is preparing a hundred-year development plan for Türkiye. This means that in a hundred years, Türkiye will become a world power, a hegemonic state. This cannot be realised in one or two years. The geopolitics of the world has already changed significantly, and this is part of the new geopolitics," summarised the Turkologist.
Caliber.Az
1
|
Poland suspends military drills following fifth soldier's death
27 March 2024 - 13:41
|
2
|
Syrian scenario for Armenia Russian, Israeli experts’ views for Caliber.Az
26 March 2024 - 17:27
|
3
|
Serbian president warns of difficult days ahead
27 March 2024 - 11:04
|
4
|
Global reactions to UNSC Gaza ceasefire resolution Diverse views, urgent action
27 March 2024 - 18:00
|
5
|
Vucic warns of Serbia's Council of Europe departure amid Kosovo debate Double standards alert
28 March 2024 - 12:13
|
Moscow: Russian military base sole guarantor of Armenia's sovereignty
29 March 2024 - 18:01
Azerbaijan's foreign minister, Russian envoy discuss cooperation, regional peace agenda
29 March 2024 - 17:56
Israeli strikes on Syria kill 38, including 5 Hezbollah members
PHOTO29 March 2024 - 17:54
Baku, Riyadh explore cooperation on climate change initiatives
29 March 2024 - 17:45
US Navy preps hypersonic weapon test this spring
29 March 2024 - 17:36
Azerbaijani deputy prime minister attends CIS Economic Council meeting in Moscow
29 March 2024 - 17:28
Russia, Ukraine exchange bodies of deceased servicemen
29 March 2024 - 17:20
Russian envoy: US sees Armenia as geopolitical tool against Russia, Iran
UPDATED29 March 2024 - 17:11
Georgian politician advocates for “foreign agents” law to safeguard sovereignty
29 March 2024 - 17:00
France's right-wing leader signals potential exit from NATO military command
29 March 2024 - 16:52
Over 32,600 Palestinians killed, 75,000 injured in Gaza
29 March 2024 - 16:43
Sweden considers supplying Gripen fighter jets to Ukraine amid ongoing discussions
29 March 2024 - 16:36
Suspects linked to Moscow terrorist attack detained in Tajikistan
29 March 2024 - 16:28
Orban advocates for buffer zone in Ukraine, dismisses direct Russian threat
29 March 2024 - 16:20
US allocates over $113 billion in aid to Ukraine amid Ongoing conflict
29 March 2024 - 16:11
Türkiye’s intelligence chief to meet US House delegation to discuss security concerns
29 March 2024 - 16:02
Blazing bits transmitted 4.5 million times faster than broadband
29 March 2024 - 15:54
Armenian defence minister convenes meeting with generals
29 March 2024 - 15:46
Pundit: Armenia faces crucial decision amid EU-US pressure
29 March 2024 - 15:37
AvtoVAZ launches Lada car production in Azerbaijan
Expanding presence and promising prospects29 March 2024 - 15:28
Russia doubled imports of an explosives ingredient
With Western help29 March 2024 - 15:16
Azerbaijan passes stricter measures against religious extremism
New rules for special operations approved29 March 2024 - 15:04
Hamas leader seeks more Iranian support during Tehran's visit
Amidst Gaza conflict29 March 2024 - 14:59
Ministry neutralizes ammunition cache discovered outside Azerbaijani capital
PHOTO/VIDEO29 March 2024 - 14:52
COP29 to help adapt Azerbaijan's agricultural policy to international experience - minister
29 March 2024 - 14:40
BAE displays new armored multipurpose vehicle
PHOTO29 March 2024 - 14:27
Azerbaijan disappointed by biased US stance on peace process
Presidential aide says29 March 2024 - 14:21
Ambassador Ravkov: Azerbaijan and Belarus are strategic partners
29 March 2024 - 14:14
Azerbaijani police seize batch of Armenian weapons in Khankendi
29 March 2024 - 14:10
Azerbaijan attracts $6.7 billion in direct foreign investment in 2023
29 March 2024 - 13:55
Armenian Prosecutor's Office targets family of Dashnak representative
29 March 2024 - 13:43
Azerbaijan asserts right to self-defense amidst calls for regional peace
Hajiyev grants interview to Chinese TV channel Phoenix29 March 2024 - 13:39
Azerbaijan to construct four new renewable energy plants this year – energy minister
29 March 2024 - 13:30
Azerbaijan holds command-staff exercise in one of military units
29 March 2024 - 13:17
Azerbaijan, China strengthen economic ties
From trade to investment29 March 2024 - 13:10
Another suspect detained for alleged complicity in Moscow terrorist attack
29 March 2024 - 13:05
Politico: The European Parliament is once again caught in corruption
29 March 2024 - 12:52
Geopolitical storm brewing beyond Russia's reaction
EU-US-Armenia meeting sparks controversy29 March 2024 - 12:38
Speaker says Armenia doing nothing against Russia
29 March 2024 - 12:24
Armenia conducts house-to-house searches in apartments, offices of nationalists
29 March 2024 - 12:09