Armenia trapped in illusions: Modernization for new war Baku is not only monitoring the situation...

The French publication Intelligence Online, often considered to be close to France’s intelligence circles, has published an article on the large-scale modernization of Armenia’s military, focusing on investments in unmanned technologies and electronic warfare. According to the information presented, Yerevan is urgently striving to eliminate its critical technological lag, which became glaringly apparent during the 44-day war with Azerbaijan.

The actions of the Armenian side once again demonstrate that it is deliberately and consistently preparing to provoke a new war. However, there is one key nuance: all these efforts are being made in the context of strategic inequality. Azerbaijan not only holds technological superiority but also follows a fundamentally different model of military development, one that is focused on a systematic, rather than chaotic, approach. Baku is closely monitoring the situation and, most importantly, is several steps ahead of its adversary.

Bet on drones and EW: Attempt to break free from technological dependence

According to Intelligence Online, since December 2024, Armenia has actively invested in unmanned systems, while also purchasing heavy weaponry from France and India. Military tests are now being conducted at the country’s training grounds:

• Drone technologies from the company Inogate;

• Electronic warfare and interception systems (SIGINT) from Boo Vision and ADX Systems.

The Armenian government openly states that it views unmanned technologies as the "only opportunity" to level the playing field with Azerbaijan. However, this is where the key issue lies.

Technologies without strategy – Path to nowhere

Armenia’s desire to catch up with and surpass Azerbaijan in the fields of UAVs and electronic warfare faces a number of objective limitations:

• Azerbaijan is a decade ahead of Armenia in the development of unmanned aviation. While Armenian companies are just beginning to develop AI solutions for drones, Baku has already integrated drones of various types—ranging from tactical FPVs to strategic strike platforms—into its military system.

• Local developments do not solve the issue of serial production. Even if Inogate and other Armenian companies manage to create advanced AI algorithms and autonomous navigation systems, their mass production, combat use, and technical support remain uncertain. Azerbaijan has long established these processes.

• Electronic warfare without deep integration is ineffective. The EW systems being tested in Armenia, such as the J-05 from ADX Systems, create zones of GPS signal jamming, but this is not a decisive factor. Azerbaijan has long been using protected satellite communication channels and alternative navigation systems that are resistant to jamming.

Arms race without foundation

Armenia’s attempts to catch up are at odds with its economic capabilities and logistical realities. Any serious military modernization requires a comprehensive approach, from personnel training to a sustainable supply system.

Unlike Azerbaijan, which has systematically built its military doctrine, Armenia is operating on a "patchwork" basis. Without a developed industrial base, stable financial flows, and a clearly formulated strategy, the future war will inevitably lead Yerevan to yet another defeat.

Meanwhile, Baku is not just monitoring these processes—it is predicting and outpacing them. Azerbaijan has built a layered system to counter unmanned threats, integrating:

• Electronic warfare at various levels, including mobile and stationary communication and navigation jamming complexes;

• Modern air defence systems capable of destroying both small FPV drones and heavy strike UAVs;

• Operational integration of UAVs into combat units, ensuring high maneuverability and effective use in any conditions.

Azerbaijan for peace, but ready for any provocation from Armenia

All of the above once again proves that despite rhetoric about seeking peace, Armenia is actively militarizing and clearly betting on a military scenario.

Azerbaijan, unlike its neighbor, has repeatedly stated its commitment to a peaceful resolution. However, this does not signify weakness or underestimation of potential threats. Azerbaijan observes, analyzes, and responds swiftly to all military preparations by the adversary.

History has shown that Azerbaijan does not act aggressively but is always ready to defend its interests. Any attempt at revenge, any provocation or military adventures from Armenia will be swiftly and decisively thwarted.

Unlike Yerevan, which is scrambling between external patrons in search of weapons and technologies, Baku has already proven its superiority on the battlefield. And if Armenia once again decides to test the "strength" of its adventures, the outcome will be the same as before—clear and unconditional.