Macron's crumbled authority: Ordinary French people could push him out of the Élysée Palace Expert insights
Political failures are piling up on the French president one after another. It has become clear to everyone that it is Emmanuel Macron, due to his reckless actions, who has plunged France into a deep governmental crisis, and now the procedure for impeachment of the head of state is not ruled out. Macron is facing widespread discontent, not just from lawmakers but also from ordinary French citizens. Recent polls reveal that 61 per cent of the public supports his resignation.
Macron's authority is visibly declining in Europe as well – the re-elected head of the European Commission, Ursula von der Leyen, refused to travel to Paris due to Macron's inappropriate stance on EU policy.
More and more former colonies are expressing their desire to hear nothing more about France.
Surprisingly, however, the French president recently stated that he has no intention of leaving office prematurely.
Caliber.Az’s correspondent reached out to international experts to inquire whether President Macron will be able to remain in the Élysée Palace until the end of his term and to explore the reasons behind his series of setbacks on multiple fronts.
According to Borislav Osinchuk, an expert on France and Belarusian political scientist-internationalist, Macron's career seems to be heading towards the same fate as his predecessors: initially loud and promising, but ultimately filled with failures and scandals.
"Former French presidents, such as Sarkozy and Hollande, left office amidst political and economic crises, surrounded by accusations and scandals. But Macron seems set to surpass them both. The number of economic, and even more so, political problems that France is facing has not been seen for a long time. Due to his clumsy economic policies, Macron has created an unreliable image of France, even among creditors. While Moody's agency recently confirmed France's credit rating at Aa2, it downgraded the outlook from 'stable' to 'negative,' citing the unstable trajectory of the country's budget. This is a very alarming trend."
As for the recent resignation of the government, an unprecedented event occurred: the far-right and far-left united in a common front against Macron's policies. This embarrassing fact was publicly acknowledged by the French president himself. While not all factions in parliament support impeachment, it is clearly on the horizon. For example, the "Unsubmissive France" movement has promised to create conditions for Macron in which he will have no other choice but to resign.
Macron now finds himself in a very difficult situation – he must form a skilled government both economically and politically, which, more than likely, he will fail to do, just as he has with previous attempts. The situation with "governments lasting three months" seems to have become a chronic condition for France, but all this instability stems from Macron's highly erratic behaviour. He tends to betray his political allies as soon as a new threat to his power looms on the horizon, and then runs to negotiate with his former opponents. France's failed foreign policy only fuels societal discontent, and in my view, it seems that the majority of even the most radical parties, once united, will force President Macron to step down," Osinchuk emphasized.
Meanwhile, Russian political scientist and publicist Kirill Sitnikov believes that Macron has now found himself caught in the vice of the devaluation of his own political course, from which, in essence, there is no way out.
"As with the devaluation of a national currency due to a combination of several negative factors, such as low currency backing from GDP growth and a failing foreign trade turnover, export decline, Macron's devaluation is happening due to a range of external and internal factors, making his downfall inevitable. Domestically, Macron has caused a collapse in many economic indicators, worsened the quality of life for the French, driven the country into a debt trap, and created a situation of constant governmental crisis, where ordinary French citizens simply don't know who to trust or rely on within the government.
In foreign policy, things are even worse. While most politicians try to offset their domestic failures with successes and breakthroughs in advancing national interests abroad, Macron's situation is the exact opposite. The parade of sovereignties now being demonstrated by French colonies, their open resistance to Paris, destroys Macron's image day by day. Meanwhile, Macron's shameful European policy, where the French president constantly makes bold statements that fail to resonate with European states, also proves to the French people that Macron is completely unfit as a politician.
In other words, to put it bluntly, what is there to be proud of when the state is suffering? Therefore, there are every reason to believe that Macron's resignation will soon become inevitable, with ordinary French citizens simply kicking him out of the Élysée Palace," Sitnikov noted.